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Abstrak :
[ABSTRAK
Tesis ini menganalisis hubungan antara perubahan nilai tukar Indonesia terhadap perbedaan tingkat suku bunga antara Indonesia sebagai negara tujuan investasi mata uang dengan negara negara penyandang dana investasi mata uang dan tingkat risk averse dari investor yang tercermin dalam indeks volatility VIX Tesis ini juga menganalisis ambang batas runtuhnya strategi Carry Trade dengan menggunakan model threshold Penelitian ini fokus pada strategy Carry Trade YEN IDR USD IDR and EUR IDR untuk period 01 Agustus 2005 hingga 18 September 2015 Hasil penelitian ini mengindikasikan bahwa ambang batas VIX pada saat runtuhnya strategi USD IDR dan EUR IDR Carry Trade lebih rendah dibandingkan strategi YEN IDR Carry Trade Pada periode krisis finansial tahun 2008 Carry Trade YEN IDR menjadi lebih sensitif Hal ini tercermin lewat menurunnya ambang batas VIX Penemuan lain dalam penelitian ini adalah perbedaan tingkat suku bunga dan indeks VIX merupakan faktor faktor penting bagi investor Semakin tinggi suku bunga Indonsia dibandingkan negara penyandang dana akan menciptakan positif profit pada strategi Carry Trade Selain itu tingginya ketidakpastian di pasar finansial yang dicerminkan lewat meningkatnya nilai indeks VIX mengakibatkan adanya kemungkinan para investor menarik investasinya

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ABSTRACT
This study analyzes the relationship between changes in Indonesia rsquo s exchange rate to interest rate differential between Indonesia as an investment currency country and funding currencies countries and the level of international investor risk aversion using the volatility index VIX threshold model for carry trade collapse The focus study is on carry trades based on the YEN IDR USD IDR and EUR IDR currency pairs over the period 01 August 2005 to 18 September 2015 The results indicate that the VIX threshold of carry trades unwinding for USD IDR and EUR IDR is lower than YEN IDR However during the financial crisis in 2008 YEN IDR carry trades become more sensitive showed by the decreasing VIX threshold value Another finding is the interest rate differential and volatility index which reflects the market uncertainty are important factors for investors This implies that the higher gap between Indonesia rsquo s interest rates and funding currencies interest rates will give the positive return in carry trade activities In addition the higher degree of market uncertainty leads the investors to unwind the carry trade ;This study analyzes the relationship between changes in Indonesia rsquo s exchange rate to interest rate differential between Indonesia as an investment currency country and funding currencies countries and the level of international investor risk aversion using the volatility index VIX threshold model for carry trade collapse The focus study is on carry trades based on the YEN IDR USD IDR and EUR IDR currency pairs over the period 01 August 2005 to 18 September 2015 The results indicate that the VIX threshold of carry trades unwinding for USD IDR and EUR IDR is lower than YEN IDR However during the financial crisis in 2008 YEN IDR carry trades become more sensitive showed by the decreasing VIX threshold value Another finding is the interest rate differential and volatility index which reflects the market uncertainty are important factors for investors This implies that the higher gap between Indonesia rsquo s interest rates and funding currencies interest rates will give the positive return in carry trade activities In addition the higher degree of market uncertainty leads the investors to unwind the carry trade ;This study analyzes the relationship between changes in Indonesia rsquo s exchange rate to interest rate differential between Indonesia as an investment currency country and funding currencies countries and the level of international investor risk aversion using the volatility index VIX threshold model for carry trade collapse The focus study is on carry trades based on the YEN IDR USD IDR and EUR IDR currency pairs over the period 01 August 2005 to 18 September 2015 The results indicate that the VIX threshold of carry trades unwinding for USD IDR and EUR IDR is lower than YEN IDR However during the financial crisis in 2008 YEN IDR carry trades become more sensitive showed by the decreasing VIX threshold value Another finding is the interest rate differential and volatility index which reflects the market uncertainty are important factors for investors This implies that the higher gap between Indonesia rsquo s interest rates and funding currencies interest rates will give the positive return in carry trade activities In addition the higher degree of market uncertainty leads the investors to unwind the carry trade ;This study analyzes the relationship between changes in Indonesia rsquo s exchange rate to interest rate differential between Indonesia as an investment currency country and funding currencies countries and the level of international investor risk aversion using the volatility index VIX threshold model for carry trade collapse The focus study is on carry trades based on the YEN IDR USD IDR and EUR IDR currency pairs over the period 01 August 2005 to 18 September 2015 The results indicate that the VIX threshold of carry trades unwinding for USD IDR and EUR IDR is lower than YEN IDR However during the financial crisis in 2008 YEN IDR carry trades become more sensitive showed by the decreasing VIX threshold value Another finding is the interest rate differential and volatility index which reflects the market uncertainty are important factors for investors This implies that the higher gap between Indonesia rsquo s interest rates and funding currencies interest rates will give the positive return in carry trade activities In addition the higher degree of market uncertainty leads the investors to unwind the carry trade , This study analyzes the relationship between changes in Indonesia rsquo s exchange rate to interest rate differential between Indonesia as an investment currency country and funding currencies countries and the level of international investor risk aversion using the volatility index VIX threshold model for carry trade collapse The focus study is on carry trades based on the YEN IDR USD IDR and EUR IDR currency pairs over the period 01 August 2005 to 18 September 2015 The results indicate that the VIX threshold of carry trades unwinding for USD IDR and EUR IDR is lower than YEN IDR However during the financial crisis in 2008 YEN IDR carry trades become more sensitive showed by the decreasing VIX threshold value Another finding is the interest rate differential and volatility index which reflects the market uncertainty are important factors for investors This implies that the higher gap between Indonesia rsquo s interest rates and funding currencies interest rates will give the positive return in carry trade activities In addition the higher degree of market uncertainty leads the investors to unwind the carry trade ]

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh tingkat suku bunga yang menggunakan Treasury Bills AS terhadap profitabilitas perbankan yang dilihat dari Net Interest Margin (NIM) selama periode tahun 2005-2014 pada pasar negara berkembang. Observasi yang dilakukan mencakup industri perbankan 27 di pasar negara maju dan pasar negara berkembang dengan hasil observasi sebanyak 4499 data. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ada hubungan positif yang signifikan antara tingkat suku bunga dan NIM perbankan di emerging markets dimana semakin tinggi tingkat suku bunga maka semakin tinggi pula NIM bank tersebut. ...... This research analyzes the effect of interest rates (proxied by US T-Bills) on Banks? profitability shown by Net Interest Margin (NIM) during the period of 2005-2014 in emerging markets. The observation consists of 27 countries in developed and emerging markets which resulted in 4499 data. The result shows there is a significantly positive correlation between the levels of interest rate on banks? NIM in emerging markets where the increase (decrease) of interest rate would increase (decrease) the banks? NIM as well.

Abstrak :
Obligasi merupakan salah pilihan investasi yang cukup menarik saat ini, disebabkan karena memiliki tingkat return yang pasti yaitu pembayaran coupon rate dan principal nya. Meskipun memiliki sifat pendapatan pasti bukan berari obligasi bebas dari risiko. Obligasi memiliki risiko terkait dengan perubahan tingkat suku bunga pasar sebagai faktor risiko nya. Terkait dengan risiko ini, maka berinvestasi dalam bentuk obligasi memerlukan suatu metode pengukuran risiko yang akurat. Value at risk (VaR) merupakan ukuran potensi kerugian maksimum yang harus ditanggung oleh investor. Untuk menghitung VaR investasi.fixed income dapat digunakan metode vertex cash. Tesis ini menguraikan perhitungan risiko obligasi pemerintah ORI006 dengan pendekatan tersebut yang menghasilkan nilai VaR per 12 Agustus 2010 sebesar Rp10,1373 juta atau 0,020% dari nilai pasar. ......Currently bond is one of the interesting investment choice because of its fixed return from coupon rate and principle. But it doesn't mean that bond investment is free risk at all. Bond has a risk due to the changing of interest rate as risk factor. According to this risk; the bond investment need a proper method to measure the risk accurately. Value at risk (VaR) is a measure of maximum potential loss which has to be taken by the investors. In this case vertex cash method can be used to calculate VaR of fixed income portfolio. This thesis describes the measurement of VaR of government bond using the vertex cash method. By applying this method the VaR result as of August 12th 2010 is Rp 10,1373 million or 0,020% of its market value.

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini memiliki tujuan untuk mengetahui apakah terdapat pengaruh tingkat suku bunga terhadap return pasar saham dalam kasus di negara perekonomian maju serta negara perekonomian berkembang pada periode dari kuartal pertama 2010 hingga kuartal keempat 2020. Sampel dalam penelitian ini terdiri dari 10 negara perekonomian maju dan 10 negara perekonomian berkembang. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah regresi panel menggunakan model estimasi fixed effect untuk sampel negara perekonomian maju dan common effect untuk sampel negara perekonomian berkembang. Hasil uji menunjukkan bahwa terdapat hubungan yang signifikan dan negatif antara tingkat suku bunga dengan return pasar saham di negara perekonomian maju serta di negara perekonomian berkembang. Selain itu, terdapat variabel lain yang dapat mempengaruhi return pasar saham seperti pertumbuhan PDB riil, return indeks global, dan nilai tukar efektif riil. ......This study aims to determine whether there is an effect of interest rates on stock market returns in the case of developed and developing countries in the period from the first quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The sample in this study consisted of 10 developed countries and 10 developing countries. The method used in this study is panel regression using a fixed effect model for developed countries and a common effect model for developing countries. The test results show that there is a significant and negative relationship between interest rates and stock market returns in developed countries as well as in developing countries. In addition, there are other variables that can affect stock market returns such as real GDP growth, global index returns, and real effective exchange rates.

Abstrak :
Studi ini mengukur tingkat kesempurnaan interest rate pass-through dan kecepatan penyesuaian tingkat suku bunga perbankan terhadap perubahan tingkat suku bunga acuan. Error-correction model digunakan untuk menangkap dinamika jangka pendek yaitu koefisien koreksi suku bunga perbankan ketika terjadi deviasi kesetimbangan jangka panjang antara tingkat suku bunga acuan dan suku bunga perbankan. Tingkat suku bunga Kredit Modal Kerja memiliki pass-through jangka panjang yang tidak sempurna dengan nilai koefisien 0,95; pass-through jangka pendek yang tidak sempurna dengan nilai koefisien 0,24; dan kecepatan penyesuaian terhadap perubahan tingkat suku bunga acuan sekitar 19 bulan. Hasil yang serupa juga ditemukan pada tingkat suku bunga kredit investasi dengan pass-through jangka panjang 0,85; pass-through jangka pendek 0,23; dan kecepatan penyesuaian terhadap perubahan tingkat suku bunga acuan sekitar 13 bulan. Dari sisi deposit, tingkat suku bunga deposito 1 bulan memiliki pass-through jangka panjang 0,86; pass-through jangka pendek 0,42; dan kecepatan penyesuaian terhadap perubahan tingkat suku bunga acuan sekitar 12 bulan. ......This study attempts to measure the degree of interest rate pass-through and the speed of adjustment of commercial banking interest rates against the shift in the central bank policy rate. The study utilizes error-correction model to capture the short term dynamic, namely the coefficients indicating correction of the commercial bank interest rates whenever they drifted away from the long-term equilibrium between the commercial bank interest rates and the central bank policy rate. Working capital loan exhibited incomplete long-run pass-through with coefficient of 0.95, incomplete short-term pass-through of 0.24, and speed of adjustment approximating 19 month. Similarly, investment loan exhibited long-run pass-through coefficient of 0.85, short-term pass-through 0.23, and speed of adjustment approximating 13 month. On the deposit side, 1-month fixed deposit exhibited long-run pass-through coefficient of 0.86, short-term pass-through 0.42, and speed of adjustment approximating 12 month.

Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk meneliti pengaruh perubahan tak terduga (unexpected change) dari imbal hasil pasar, tingkat suku bunga, dan tingkat inflasi terhadap imbal hasil saham sub-sektor perbankan yang terdaftar di BEI selama periode 2007-2013 dengan menggunakan metode Autoregresive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Penelitian dilakukan dengan model ARIMA untuk melakukan peramalan nilai expected dari imbal hasil pasar, tingkat suku bunga, dan tingkat inflasi. Berdasarkan peramalan dengan metode ARIMA terhadap ketiga variabel makroekonomi yang kemudian diolah ke dalam regresi, maka hasil yang diperoleh adalah faktor imbal hasil pasar memiliki pengaruh yang positif terhadap imbal hasil saham sub-sektor perbankan, sedangkan tingkat suku bunga memiliki pengaruh yang negatif. Ternyata, untuk tingkat inflasi tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap imbal hasil saham

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ABSTRACT
This study focuses on observing the impact of unexpected changes in market return, interest rate, and inflation on bank stock return listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange during the period 2007-2013 using the Autoregresive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. The study was conducted with the ARIMA model for forecasting the expected value of market return, interest rate, and inflation rate. Based on the forecast of these three variables of macroeconomics with ARIMA method which then calculated into regression, the result of the calculation is the unexpected change of market return has a positive influence on bank stock return, while the interest rate has a negative effect. Meanwhile, the inflation rate has no impact on bank stock returns

Abstrak :
Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh karakteristik good corporate governance (GCG) terhadap kinerja keuangan perusahaan pertambangan di Indonesia. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh perusahaan yang tercatat di Bursa Efek Indonesia selama tahun 2015 sampai dengan 2020. Sampel yang dipilih adalah perusahaan pertambangan. GCG diukur dengan menggunakan lima karakteristik yaitu, ukuran dewan direksi, independensi dewan, frekuensi pertemuan komite audit, insider shareholder, dan kepemilikan institusional. Tiga variabel independen lainnya yaitu ukuran perusahaan, tingkat suku bunga, dan pandemi Covid-19. Sementara kinerja keuangan perusahaan diukur dengan melihat profitabilitas dan nilai pasar perusahaan. Dengan menggunakan fixed effect model ditemukan bahwa ukuran direksi, kepemilikan institusinal, dan ukuran perusahaan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap profitabilitas perusahaan. Sementara itu board independence, frekuensi meeting komite audit, kepemilikan institusional, dan ukuran perusahaan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai nilai pasar perusahaan. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan pentingnya penerapan GCG untuk meningkatkan profitabilitas mauoun nilai pasar perusahaan pertambangan. ......This study aimed to determine the effect of good corporate governance (GCG) characteristics on the financial performance of all listed mining companies in Indonesia from 2015 to 2020. The sample selected was mining companies. GCG is measured using five characteristics: the size of the board of directors (BOD), the board's independence, the frequency of audit committee meetings, insider shareholders, and institutional ownership. The other three independent variables are firm size, interest rates, and the Covid-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, the firm's financial performance is measured by its profitability and market value. Using the fixed effect model, it is found that the size of the BOD, institutional ownership, and firm size have a significant effect on company profitability. Meanwhile, board independence, the frequency of audit committee meetings, institutional ownership, and firm size have a significant effect on the company's market value. This study indicates the importance of implementing GCG to increase mining companies' profitability and market value

Abstrak :
Obligasi merupakan salah satu instrumen investasi yang dapat memberikan return yang pasti dalam hal pembayaran coupon maupun principalnya. Tetapi kepastian tersebut tidak menjadikan obligasi bebas dari segala risiko. Nilai dari obligasi tersebut dipengaruhi oleh tingkat suku bunga sedangkan untuk obligasi dalam valuta asing dipengaruhi juga dengan nilai tukar. Perhitungan Value at Risk (VaR) terhadap obligasi dalam valuta asing telah dilakukan oleh PT.Bank XYZ dengan menggunakan suatu sistem yang terintegrated satu dengan yang lainnya, sehingga risiko operasional dapat diminimalisasi. Pada karya akhir ini akan diperlihatkan perhitungan manual VaR risiko tingkat suku bunga dan nilai tukar pada obligasi pemerintah dalam valuta asing dengan menggunakan metode risk metrics sebagai alternatif perhitungan VaR yang dapat diterapkan dalam PT.Bank XYZ. ......Bond is one of investment instrument that can give a certain return in terms of coupon or principal payment. But in the other hand all that return doesn’t make bond free from every risk. Bond is rare influenced by interest rate and exchange rate risk. PT.Bank XYZ already implements the calculation of VaR by using integrated system therefore operational risk can be minimized. In this paper, we can see the manual calculation of VaR interest rate risk and exchange rate risk for government bond in foreign curency using the risk metrics method as an alternative for VaR calculation that already implemented in PT.Bank XYZ.