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Abstrak :
Menggunakan data panel dinamis dari 68 perusahaan manufaktur yang tercatat di Bursa Efek Indonesia selama periode 2014-2018, penelitian ini menguji pengaruh moderasi ketidakpastian pada hubungan antara leverage dan investasi perusahaan. Ketidakpastian spesifik perusahaan, ketidakpastian pasar, ketidakpastian pasar keuangan dan ketidakpastian ekonomi dan politik digunakan sebagai proksi ketidakpastian. Penelitian ini menggunakan two step robust system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ketidakpastian dan interaksinya dengan leverage memiliki efek yang bervariasi pada investasi perusahaan. Studi ini menemukan bahwa hanya ketidakpastian pasar dan ketidakpastian ekonomi dan politik yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap investasi perusahaan. Untuk efek moderasi, penelitian ini menemukan bukti bahwa interaksi antara ketidakpastian pasar dengan leverage melemahkan efek positif dari leverage pada investasi. Namun interaksi antara ketidakpastian ekonomi dan politik dengan leverage melemahkan efek negatif dari leverage pada investasi. ...... Using dynamic panel data of 68 manufacturing companies listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange during period of 2014-2018, this study examine the moderating effect of uncertainty on the relationship between leverage and firm investment. Firm specific uncertanty, market uncertainty, financial market uncertainty and economic and political uncertainty are used as uncertainty proxy. The research used two step robust system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The results show that uncertainty and its interaction with leverage has vary effect on the firm investment. This study found that only market uncertainty and economic and politic uncertainty has significant effect on firm investment. For moderating effect, this study found evidence that interaction between market uncertainty with leverage weaken the positive effect of leverage on investment. However the interaction between economic and political uncertainty with leverage weaken the negative effect of leverage on investment.

Abstrak :
[ABSTRAK
Tesis ini membahas gaya komunikasi dan kepemimpinan pada masa ketidakpastian uncertainty studi pada kepemimpinan Badan Kependudukan dan Keluarga Berencana Nasional Penelitian ini adalah penelitian kualitatif dengan desain deskriptif narasumber terdiri dari 7 orang Metode analisis dengan cara mengolah data yang didapatkan melalui wawacara observasi data lapangan dan studi pustaka Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa gaya komunikasi dan kepemimpinan yang digunakan adalah kepemimpinan demokratis dan gaya komunikasi equalitarian dan structuring penggunaan gaya tersebut penting dalam menciptakan iklim organisasi yang kondusif Ketidakpastian uncertainty dalam organisasi juga dapat diminimalisir karena tercipta dynamic climate antara organisasi dan anggota memiliki kemauan yang sama untuk mengatasi ketidakpastian tersebut

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ABSTRACT
This thesis discusses the communication style and leadership in uncertainty studies in the National Population and Family Planning Board leadership This study is a qualitative study with a descriptive design resource consists of 7 people The method of analysis by processing data obtained through interview observations field data and literature The results showed that communication and leadership styles used are democratic leadership and communication styles equalitarian and structuring this leadership style is important in creating a conducive organizational climate Uncertainty in the organization can also be minimized because the dynamic climate created between the organization and its members have the same willingness to overcome this uncertainty ;This thesis discusses the communication style and leadership in uncertainty studies in the National Population and Family Planning Board leadership This study is a qualitative study with a descriptive design resource consists of 7 people The method of analysis by processing data obtained through interview observations field data and literature The results showed that communication and leadership styles used are democratic leadership and communication styles equalitarian and structuring this leadership style is important in creating a conducive organizational climate Uncertainty in the organization can also be minimized because the dynamic climate created between the organization and its members have the same willingness to overcome this uncertainty , This thesis discusses the communication style and leadership in uncertainty studies in the National Population and Family Planning Board leadership This study is a qualitative study with a descriptive design resource consists of 7 people The method of analysis by processing data obtained through interview observations field data and literature The results showed that communication and leadership styles used are democratic leadership and communication styles equalitarian and structuring this leadership style is important in creating a conducive organizational climate Uncertainty in the organization can also be minimized because the dynamic climate created between the organization and its members have the same willingness to overcome this uncertainty ]

Abstrak :
[ABSTRAK
Orientasi kewirausahaan dan kapabilitas dinamik telah menjadi subjek penelitian yang menarik berkaitan dengan organisasi yang menghadapi ketidakpastian lingkungan eksternal. Implementasi dari orientasi kewirausahaan dan kapabilitas dinamik diharapkan mampu mendorong kinerja organisasi ke tingkat yang lebih tinggi. Penelitian ini mengenai analisis pengaruh dari orientasi kewirausahaan dan kapabilitas dinamik terhadap kinerja dalam menghadapi ketidakpastian lingkungan eksternal. Unit analisisnya merupakan karyawan manajerial bandar udara yang dikelola salah satu Badan Usaha Milik Negara di Indonesia. Hasil temuannya adalah walaupun orientasi kewirausahaan memiliki pengaruh yang positif terhadap kapabilitas dinamik, namun orientasi kewirausahaan tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap peningkatan kinerja. Kombinasi antara orientasi kewirausahaan dan kapabilitas dinamik merupakan sumber potensial untuk menciptakan keunggulan kompetitif dan peningkatan kinerja dalam menghadapi ketidakpastian lingkungan eksternal.

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ABSTRACT
Orientation entrepreneurial and dynamic capability have been the subject of interesting research related to organization facing uncertainty of the external environment. Implementation of entrepreneurial orientation and dynamic capability are expected to drive performance of the organization to a higher level. This study about the effect of entrepreneurial orientation and dynamic capabilities on performance in the face of the uncertainty of external environment. The unit of analysis are airports managerial employees managed by one of the State-Owned Enterprises in Indonesia. Although its findings are entrepreneurial orientation has a positive influence on the dynamic capability, but entrepreneurial orientation has no influence on performance improvement. The combination of entrepreneurial orientation and dynamic capabilities are potential sources for creating competitive advantage and achieve higher performance dealing with external environment uncertainty, Orientation entrepreneurial and dynamic capability have been the subject of interesting research related to organization facing uncertainty of the external environment. Implementation of entrepreneurial orientation and dynamic capability are expected to drive performance of the organization to a higher level. This study about the effect of entrepreneurial orientation and dynamic capabilities on performance in the face of the uncertainty of external environment. The unit of analysis are airports managerial employees managed by one of the State-Owned Enterprises in Indonesia. Although its findings are entrepreneurial orientation has a positive influence on the dynamic capability, but entrepreneurial orientation has no influence on performance improvement. The combination of entrepreneurial orientation and dynamic capabilities are potential sources for creating competitive advantage and achieve higher performance dealing with external environment uncertainty]

Abstrak :
[ABSTRAK
Model kecepatan lapisan bawah permukaan yang diestimasi pada proses pengolahan data seismik yang masih memiliki ketidakpastian posisi sebenarnya dari reflektor seismik atau kedalaman lapisan geologi. Penelitian ini melakukan analisis ketidakpastian dari kedalaman posisi lapisan reservoar pada Lapangan X. Hasil penelitian digunakan untuk membantu pemprediksi area target pengeboran sumur penilaian sebelum dilakukan pengembangan pada Lapangan X. Analisis dilakukan dengan menggabungkan dua metode yaitu analisis statistika dari proses koreksi peta kedalaman reservoar dan proses kalibrasi model kecepatan data seismik. Dari kedua analisis ini diketahui nilai maksimum ketidakpastian kedalaman pada batas atas reservoar sebesar 125ft. Distribusi nilai ketidakpastian kedalaman dilakukan dengan menggunakan acuan dari bentuk geologi lipatan Lapangan X untuk menghasilkan peta ketidakpastian kedalaman. Peta ketidakpastian kedalaman digunakan untuk mendapatkan peta lapisan reservoar dengan kasus dangkal, dasar dan dalam. Dari ketiga peta tersebut dikombinasikan dengan data sekunder kontak gas dan air (Gas Water Contact) dan asumsi akuisisi data pada sumur penilaian sehingga diperoleh prediksi area target pengeboran sumur penilaian dengan jarak terdekat 400 m dari sumur eksplorasi pada Lapangan X.

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ABSTRACT
Subsurface velocity model that estimated from seismic data processing still has uncertainty in term of real position of seismic reflector or depth geological layer. The research has been carried out for analyzing depth uncertainty of reservoir layer at X-Field. The result will be used to determine the target area of appraisal well which should be done before field development stage. This research used two methods to analyze the depth uncertainty, there are statistic analysis of reservoir depth map correction process and seismic velocity model calibration. From these analysis was known that maximum depth uncertainty number for top reservoar layer is 125 ft. The distribution of depth uncertainty value use X Field shape as geological model reference for generating depth uncertainty map. The depth uncertainty map was applied to get reservoir map with three alternative model, shallow case, base case and deep case. Combination of these three maps with the gas water contact infomation and data acquisition asumption generated the prediction of the target area for appraisal well at X-Field that the shortest distance is 400m from exploration well.;Subsurface velocity model that estimated from seismic data processing still has uncertainty in term of real position of seismic reflector or depth geological layer. The research has been carried out for analyzing depth uncertainty of reservoir layer at X-Field. The result will be used to determine the target area of appraisal well which should be done before field development stage. This research used two methods to analyze the depth uncertainty, there are statistic analysis of reservoir depth map correction process and seismic velocity model calibration. From these analysis was known that maximum depth uncertainty number for top reservoar layer is 125 ft. The distribution of depth uncertainty value use X Field shape as geological model reference for generating depth uncertainty map. The depth uncertainty map was applied to get reservoir map with three alternative model, shallow case, base case and deep case. Combination of these three maps with the gas water contact infomation and data acquisition asumption generated the prediction of the target area for appraisal well at X-Field that the shortest distance is 400m from exploration well., Subsurface velocity model that estimated from seismic data processing still has uncertainty in term of real position of seismic reflector or depth geological layer. The research has been carried out for analyzing depth uncertainty of reservoir layer at X-Field. The result will be used to determine the target area of appraisal well which should be done before field development stage. This research used two methods to analyze the depth uncertainty, there are statistic analysis of reservoir depth map correction process and seismic velocity model calibration. From these analysis was known that maximum depth uncertainty number for top reservoar layer is 125 ft. The distribution of depth uncertainty value use X Field shape as geological model reference for generating depth uncertainty map. The depth uncertainty map was applied to get reservoir map with three alternative model, shallow case, base case and deep case. Combination of these three maps with the gas water contact infomation and data acquisition asumption generated the prediction of the target area for appraisal well at X-Field that the shortest distance is 400m from exploration well.]

Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
Pembangunan di wilayah pesisir Jakarta serta perubahan peraturan pemerintah mengenaiperikanan yang secara terus menerus terjadi telah membawa dinamika perubahan diwilayah pesisir Jakarta Utara. Perubahan tersebut memberikan kondisi ketidakpastianbagi nelayan kecil Cilincing untuk memperoleh sumber daya ikan yang mereka perlukan.Ketidakpastian tersebut membawa nelayan kecil Cilincing pada posisi yang sangat rentanterhadap kemiskinan. Melihat kondisi tersebut, penelitian tesis ini dilakukan dengantujuan untuk melihat pemanfaatan jaringan sosial yang dimiliki oleh nelayan kecilCilincing dalam menghadapi kondisi ketidakpastian dan kerentanan kemiskinan.Penelitian tesis ini dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode dan pendekatan kualitatifdengan teknik wawancara mendalam serta pengamatan terlibat. Penelitian inidilaksanakan di wilayah kelurahan Cilincing Jakarta Utara dengan melibatkan beberapainforman yang merupakan nelayan kecil Cilincing. Pada tesis ini menjelaskan bahwajaringan sosial yang dimiliki oleh nelayan kecil Cilincing dapat dilihat sebagai kapitalsosial dalam bentuk

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ABSTRACT
Development in the coastal areas of Jakarta as well as continuous changes in governmentregulations on fisheries have caused the dynamics of change in the coastal areas of NorthJakarta. That changes caused uncertainty conditions for Cilincing rsquo s small scale fishermen to obtain the fish resources they needed. The uncertainty conditions make Cilincing rsquo ssmall scale fishermen in a position that is very vulnerable to poverty. Seeing thesephenomenon, this research was conducted with the aim to see the utilization of socialnetworks owned by Cilincing rsquo s small scale fishermen in facing uncertainty andvulnerability of poverty. This study was conducted using qualitative methods andapproaches with in depth interview and participants observations techniques. Thisresearch was conducted in Cilincing district of North Jakarta with involving an informantsthat identified as Cilincing rsquo s small scale fishermen. This study reveal that the socialnetworks owned and used by small scale fishermen Cilincing can be seen as social capitalin the form of bonding, bridging and linking.

Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengevaluasi penggunaan komunikasi manajerial di dalam manajemen perubahan. Kerangka konsep penelitian ini menggunakan konsep komunikasi manajemen perubahan dan komunikasi manajerial untuk mendapatkan hasil berupa pengurangan ketidakpastian di dalam sebuah organisasi. Analisis kasus yang digunakan di dalam penelitian ini adalah perubahan yang terjadi di SKK Migas yang telah mengalami perubahan manajemen beberapa kali dalam lima tahun kebelakang.Penelitian ini menggunakan paradigma post-positivistik dengan pendekatan kualitatif. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis kasus dan pengumpulan data berdasarkan observasi serta wawancara yang mendalam dalam mengevaluasi implementasi komunikasi manajerial saat manajemen perubahan di SKK Migas. Objek penelitian ini adalah SKK Migas dengan subjek penelitian yang diambil dari manajemen, middle management, maupun karyawan SKK Migas. Kriteria utama dari karyawan SKK Migas adalah mereka yang bekerja di SKK Migas minimal lima tahun dan telah mengalami lebih dari satu kali perubahan manajemen. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa komunikasi manajerial di dalam manajemen perubahan masih memerlukan strategi yang lebih baik untuk dapat mengurangi ketidakpastian di SKK Migas.

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ABSTRACT
The purpose of this study is to evaluate the use of managerial communication in change management. The conceptual framework of this study uses the concept of change management communication and managerial communication to obtain results in the form of reduction of uncertainty within an organization. The case analyzes used in this study are changes that occurred in SKK Migas which have undergone management changes several times in the past five years.This research uses post positivistic paradigm with qualitative approach. This research uses case analysis method and data collection based on observation and in depth interview in evaluating the implementation of managerial communication during change management in SKK Migas. The object of this research is SKK Migas with research subjects taken from management, middle management, and employees of SKK Migas. The main criteria of employees of SKK Migas are those who have worked in SKK Migas for at least 5 five years and have experienced more than one change of management. The results show that managerial communication in change management still needs a better strategy to reduce uncertainty in SKK Migas.

Abstrak :
Abstrak Strategi bisnis sangat penting bagi perusahaan dimana perusahaan dapat menjadi lebih aktif dan sensitif terhadap ancaman di masa depan. Untuk faktor eksternal, faktor ketidakpastian lingkungan perlu dipertimbangkan untuk meningkatkan suatu strategi bisnis perusahaan dan faktor internal nya terhadap kinerja. Penelitian ini akan membahas ada atau tidaknya keterkaitan antara strategi bisnis dengan ketidakpastian lingkungan dan kinerja di industri freight fowarding dan logistik baik secara finansial dan non finansial. Data yang diperlukan adalah survei kuesioner dan menggunakan data dari beberapa perusahaan untuk menganalisis dengan pendekatan strategi porter, sebelum analisis pengujian, skor faktor kuesioner akan dihitung terlebih dahulu diuji dengan uji regresi, setelah itu hasil dari ANOVA akan dilihat apakah memiliki keterkaitan atau tidak.

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Abstract Business strategy is indispensable to company become more active and sensitive for future threats. For external factor, environmental uncertainty need to be considered for improving their strategy and from internal factor is performance. This research will discuss the linkage among business strategy with environmental uncertainty and performance in the field of freight forwarder Indonesia and logistic by financial and non financial. The required data are questionnaire survey and secunder data from some companies with approach of porter strategy, before tested, factor score of questionnaire will be calculated first with regresion after that, ANOVA will be checked whether linkaged or not.

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini menginvestigasi mengenai mekanisme spasial arsitektur yang hadir tanpa penerapan order. Dalam sejarahnya, proses perancangan arsitektur tidak pernah terlepas dari pengaplikasian rigid order sebagai paradigma ideal, meskipun didalam penerapannya order rigid cenderung menyebabkan beberapa permasalahan di kemudian hari. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan contingency dan indeterminacy dengan potensinya dalam meredefinisi penerapan order rigid didalam perancangan arsitektur. Dalam pembahasan menemukan tiga aspek untuk menangani contingency, yaitu subjek yang selalu berubah, perubahan itu sendiri, dan kronologi waktu. Ketiga aspek ini untuk selanjutnya diguanakan untuk membedah beberapa studi kasus yang menggunakan pendekatan contingency dalam proes perancangannya. Hasil yang didapatkan pada penelitian ini adalah mekanisme spasial gradation spacr, dimana dengan mekanisme gradation space akan menghadirkan arsitektur yang dapat terlepas dari penerapan rigid order. Mekanisme spasial gradation space ini terbentuk dengan menyadari dan menghubungkan kemungkinan atas aspek perubahan intensitas yang secara alami terjadi pada alam, perubahan bentuk atau ukuran atas subjek, dan perubahan sensasi ruang. Untuk selanjutnya, dengan menggunakan mekanisme spasial gradation space didalam perancnagan, dapat meredefinisi bentuk arsitektur seperti boundary, spatial organization dan path yang dapat hadir tanpa penerapan order yang rigid. ......This paper investigates the spatial mechanism of architecture without order. During the history, architectural design process has never been separated from the application of rigid order as an ideal paradigm, although the application of rigid order tends to cause several problems in the future. The study utilized a contingency and indeterminacy approach with its potential to redefine the application of rigid order in architectural design. The discussion circulates the idea that contingency is emphasized in three things, i.e., subjects that keep changing, changes of subject, and chronological lines of time. These three aspects are further utilised to analyze precedents that used contingency approach through their design process and contingency on natural phenomenon. This paper proposes gradation space as a potential mechanism for developed architectural design by no rigid order. Mechanism system of gradation space can be formed by shifting intensity of natural force such as temperature and humidity, differential of size and volume of subject’s changes and immersive sensation and experience with the nature of constantly changing according to the possibilities. Further discussion by using this gradation zone within design process, can redefine architectural form such as boundary, spatial organization and path that can exist without rigid order.