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Abstrak :
ABSTRAK Dalam upaya memperoleh informasi perihal penerapan metode peramalan kuantitatif yang berdasarkan deret waktu terhadap pemakaian obat di instalasi farmasi Klinik IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah, telah dilakukan penelitian dengan cara membandingkan penerapan dari 6 metode peramalan yaitu rata-rata bergerak 3 bulan, rata-rata bergerak 6 bulan, pemulusan eksponensial tunggal, pemulusan eksponensial ganda, regresi linear sederhana dan dekomposisi klasik terhadap 6 sampel obat yang digunakan oleh karyawan IAIN dari tahun 1994-1997. Kriteria yang dipakai untuk membandingkan dan menentukan metode yang paling sesuai adalah nilai kesalahan peramalan, analisis autokorelasi, analisis regresi dan indeks musiman, ditambah kriteria lain yaitu jangka waktu peramalan dan kemudahannya dalam penerapan. Hasil analisis autokorelasi menunjukkan bahwa pemakaian obat oleh karyawan IAIN memiliki pola data diantara pola acak dan pola kecenderungan, sedangkan hasil peramalan dari setiap sampel obat dengan beberapa metode peramalan yang diteliti menunjukkan nilai kesalahan peramalan yang bervariasi untuk setiap metode peramalan. Analisis regresi secara keseluruhan menunjukkan kecilnya pengaruh variabel babas ( waktu ) terhadap perubahan variabel terikat ( pemakaian obat ), sedangkan indeks musiman yang dihitung dengan metode dekomposisi klasik menunjukkan adanya variasi dari setiap sampel. Kesimpulan yang diperoleh setelah beberapa metode peramalan diperbandingkan menunjukkan bahwa metode pemulusan eksponensial ganda merupakan pilihan utama, sedangkan metode rata-rata bergerak 3 bulan merupakan pilihan kedua untuk meramalkan pemakaian obat oleh karyawan IAIN di Klinik IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah. Meskipun lebih baik dari metode naif, metode dekomposisi klasik dengan rasio rata-rata bergerak dan regresi linear sederhana terhadap waktu sebaiknya tidak digunakan karena tidak memenuhi beberapa kriteria yang ditetapkan. Disarankan agar pengelola instalasi farmasi memberi perhatian lebih besar terhadap obat-obat yang perlu diramaikan serta mempersiapkan sarana/ prasarana dan sumber daya manusia yang khusus menangani perencanaan pengadaan obat. Sebelum menerapkan metode pemulusan eksponensial ganda terhadap pemakaian obat oleh seluruh pasien disarankan untuk-mencari kesamaan pola pemakaian obat dan poly penyakit antara karyawan IAIN dan seluruh pasien. Apabila pola-pola tersebut memiliki kesamaan maka metode yang sama dapat diterapkan untuk meramalkan pemakaian obat oleh seluruh pasien di instalasi farmasi Klinik IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah.

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ABSTRACT Study is undertaken in clinical pharmacy installation of IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah Clinic that is by comparing 6 of forecasting method application with are 3 months moving average, 6 months moving average, single exponential smoothing, double exponential smoothing, simple linear regression and classic decomposition toward 6 of drug sample used by IAIN staff within period of 1994-1997. The criteria for comparing and defining of the most suitable method are forecasting error value, autocorrelation analysis, regression analysis and seasonal indexes which combined with forecasting time horizon and its' easy of application. The result of autocorrelation analysis indicate that drug consumption of IAIN staff have data pattern which is applicable between random and non stationer, whereas the result of forecasting method on every drug sample indicate that forecasting error value is variative. The whole regression analysis indicate that independent variable ( time ) has small effect on the movement of dependent variable ( drug consumption ), whereas the seasonal indexes which is calculated using classic decomposition method indicate variative result for every sample. The conclusion is that double exponential smoothing method is the primary choice method, whereas 3 months moving average method is the second choice to forecast drug consumption of IAIN staff in IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah Clinic. Classic decomposition method with moving average ratio and simple linear regression toward time is not recommended to use for its' unfullfillment to the defined criteria. It is suggested that management of pharmacy installation provide more attention on the forecasted drug and prepare infrastructure as well as human resources especially to handle planning of drug supply. Before applying double exponential smoothing method for drug consumption for all of the patient, it is suggested to find the similar of pattern of disease and drug consumption between IAIN staff and all of the patient. If these indicate the similar, the method is subsequently applicable. ;Study is undertaken in clinical pharmacy installation of IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah Clinic that is by comparing 6 of forecasting method application with are 3 months moving average, 6 months moving average, single exponential smoothing, double exponential smoothing, simple linear regression and classic decomposition toward 6 of drug sample used by IAIN staff within period of 1994-1997. The criteria for comparing and defining of the most suitable method are forecasting error value, autocorrelation analysis, regression analysis and seasonal indexes which combined with forecasting time horizon and its' easy of application. The result of autocorrelation analysis indicate that drug consumption of IAIN staff have data pattern which is applicable between random and non stationer, whereas the result of forecasting method on every drug sample indicate that forecasting error value is variative. The whole regression analysis indicate that independent variable ( time ) has small effect on the movement of dependent variable ( drug consumption ), whereas the seasonal indexes which is calculated using classic decomposition method indicate variative result for every sample. The conclusion is that double exponential smoothing method is the primary choice method, whereas 3 months moving average method is the second choice to forecast drug consumption of IAIN staff in IAIN Syarif Hidayatullah Clinic. Classic decomposition method with moving average ratio and simple linear regression toward time is not recommended to use for its' unfullfillment to the defined criteria. It is suggested that management of pharmacy installation provide more attention on the forecasted drug and prepare infrastructure as well as human resources especially to handle planning of drug supply. Before applying double exponential smoothing method for drug consumption for all of the patient, it is suggested to find the similar of pattern of disease and drug consumption between IAIN staff and all of the patient. If these indicate the similar, the method is subsequently applicable.

Abstrak :
Obat merupakan bahan atau campuran yang digunakan sebagai penetapan diagnosis, pencegahan, penyembuhan, pemulihan, serta peningkatan kesehatan manusia. Oleh sebab itu produk yang dihasilkan industri farmasi harus dilakukan product quality review (PQR) yang dilakukan secara berkala terhadap semua produk farmasi yang terdaftar termasuk ekspor, untuk menilai standar kualitas masing-masing produk obat dengan melihat konsistensi proses yang ada, kesesuaian dari spesifikasi bahan awal, bahan pengemas hingga produk jadi. Hiperkolesterolemia adalah salah satu gangguan metabolisme lipid yang ditandai dengan peningkatan kadar kolesterol di dalam darah melebihi batas normal yang memiliki risiko kematian penyakit jantung koroner. Banyaknya pasien berkunjung dan melakukan swamedikasi di Apotek Roxy Pondok Labu untuk meredakan gejala hiperkolesterolemia yang dikeluhkannya. Sehingga perlu diketahui gambaran konsumsi obat hiperkolesterolemia dalam mengatasi keluhan pasien sehingga dapat dijadikan sebagai dasar pertimbangan bagi farmasis dalam melakukan kegiatan pengelolaan sediaan farmasi mulai dari perencanaan, pengadaan hingga pengendalian stok obat di Apotek Roxy Pondok Labu. Penyusunan Product Quality Review, dan gambaran konsumsi obat hiperkolesterolemia dilakukan pada saat Praktik Kerja Profesi Apoteker di PT Mahakam Beta Farma, dan Apotek Roxy Pondok Labu. Pengerjaan dilakukan pada periode Juli – Agustus, dan Oktober 2021. ......Drugs are substances or mixtures that are used as a diagnosis, prevention, cure, recovery, and improvement of human health. Therefore, for the products produced by the pharmaceutical industry, product quality review (PQR) must be carried out periodically on all registered pharmaceutical products including exports, to assess the quality standards of each drug product by looking at the consistency of the process used, the suitability of the specifications of starting materials, packaging materials to finished products. Hypercholesterolemia is a lipid metabolism disorder which is characterized by an increase in cholesterol levels in the blood that exceeds the normal limit which has a risk of death from coronary heart disease. Many patients visit and do self-medication at the Roxy Pondok Labu Pharmacy to relieve the symptoms of hypercholesterolemia that they complain about. So it is necessary to know the description of hypercholesterolemic drug consumption in overcoming patient complaints so that it can be used as a basis for consideration for pharmacists in carrying out pharmaceutical preparations management activities ranging from planning, procurement to drug stock control at Roxy Pondok Labu Pharmacy. Preparation of Product Quality Review, and description of hypercholesterolemia drug consumption was carried out during the Pharmacist Professional Work Practice at PT Mahakam Beta Farma, and Roxy Pondok Labu Pharmacy. Work is carried out in the period July – August, and October 2021.

Abstrak :
Akses masyarakat terhadap obat sangat dipengaruhi oleh ketersediaan obat di Fasilitas Pelayanan Kesehatan (Fasyankes). Berdasarkan beberapa studi lain diketahui bahwa sistem pengadaan obat di sektor publik masih tidak efisien karena ketidaksesuaian rencana kebutuhan obat. Ini menyebabkan terjadinya kelangkaan obat di ruang lingkup masyarakat sehingga beberapa pasien tidak mendapatkan obat yang dibutuhkan atau mendapatkan obat yang tidak sesuai jumlahnya dari yang seharusnya walaupun harga obat sudah dibuat murah. Dari hal ini, dapat disimpulkan bahwa rencana kebutuhan obat yang sesuai dengan yang dibutuhkan oleh masyarakat merupakan salah satu bagian penting untuk meningkatkan akses masyarakat terhadap obat. Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pola konsumsi obat pada pasien – pasien di Rumah Sakit Pendidikan Universitas Indonesia dengan metode FSN (Fast, Slow, Non – moving) sekaligus melihat apakah rencana kebutuhan obatnya sudah sesuai yang sedang dibutuhkan oleh masyarakat atau tidak. Dari hasil pengamatan, diketahui bahwa 29,82% termasuk dalam kategori fast moving, 65,53% termasuk dalam kategori slow moving, 4,65% termasuk dalam kategori non – moving dengan pola konsumsi dimana kategori fast moving menyumbang konsumsi sebesar 80,91%, kategori slow moving menyumbang konsumsi sebesar 18,57%, dan kategori non – moving menyumbang konsumsi sebesar 0,52% dari total konsumsi obat yang digunakan oleh pasien. Kemudian, rencana kebutuhan obat di Rumah Sakit Pendidikan Universitas Indonesia kurang sesuai dengan yang sedang dibutuhkan oleh masyarakat karena jumlah obat di kategori fast moving lebih sedikit dibanding jumlah obat di kategori slow moving dan non – moving. ......Access to drugs is strongly influenced by the availability of drugs in healthcare facilities. Based on several other studies, it is known that the drug supply system in the public sector is still inefficient due to discrepancies in drug supply plans. This causes a shortage of drugs in the community so that some patients do not get the drugs they need or receive the drugs but not in the correct amount they should even though the price of the drugs has been cheap. That's why it can be concluded that the right drug supply which was needed by the community is an important part of increasing people's access to drugs. This study aims to determine the rate of drug consumption in patients at the University of Indonesia Hospital using the FSN method while at the same time seeing whether the planned drug supply is exactly needed by the community or not. From the results of observations, it is known that 29.82% are included in the fast- moving category, 65.53% are included in the slow-moving category, 4.65% are included in the non-moving category with consumption rate where the fast-moving contributes 80.91%, the slow-moving contributed 18.57%, and the non-moving contributed 0.52% of the total drug consumption used by patients. Then, the plan for drug supply at the University of Indonesia Hospital is not exactly like what is currently needed by the community because the number of drugs in the fast-moving is less than the number of drugs in the slow-moving and non-moving categories.