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"This paper studies the effect of domestic and foreign macroeconomy performances on the foreign direct investment (PMA) in Indonesia, employing descriptive and inferencial (econometric model) analyses. The national economic growth and national interest rate affect significantly PMA in Indonesia. While the national inflation rate positively -effected on PMA, but results show that hyperinflation contributes to decreasing PMA. The macroeconomic improvement in some _competitor countries, especially Chinese and Thailand tends to decrease PMA in Indonesia. However, the improvement of macroeconomies in Singapore and Malaysia can increase PMA in Indonesia. Therefore, bilateral relationship with these countries must be intensified. In addition, although the economic growth of some More Developed Countries (MDCs) has positive relationship with PMA in Indonesia, but their effect were not significant statistically, except Canada. This implies that global finance crisis, especially in USA and european countries would not largely effect on PMA in Indonesia."

"Pilihan yang diambil oleh negara berkembang dalam memenuhi kekurangan dana pembangunan meilki dampak yang bervariasi. Studi ini memperjelas peran investasi asing langsung dibandingkan dengan pinjaman luar negeri dan tabungan dalam negeri terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi jangka pendek dan jangka panjang, di Indonesia. Data diperoleh dari Bank Dunia dan bank Indonesia dan digunakan dalam model koreksi kesalahan untuk menjelaskan keterkaitan antara beberapa variabel penjelas dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek, ketiga variabel penjelas secara signifikan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi. Dalam jangka panjang, dibandingkan dengan investasi asing langsung dan pinjaman luar negeri, tabungan domestik secara psoitif dan siginifikan mempengaruhi pertumbuhan ekonomi. Studi ini menekankan pentingnya mempertahankan tabungan domestik untuk menjaga stabilitas fundamental ekonomi dalam jangka panjang."

"In the year 2002, Y. V Reddy introduced a new thought in monetary economics theory, especially about transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Reddy classified the channeIs of transmission mechanism into three types, there are quantum channel, interest rate channel, and asset price channel. Quantum channel consists of two channels, there are money channel and credit channel. This research will examine the differences between money channel and credit channeI, the factors which affect volume of money supply (M2) and credit, the stability of quantum channel, and also effectiveness of quantum channel, especially related on its role to push the economic growth. This research uses a monthly data from the year 1993 until 2005. The analysis of this research divided into three parts of period, pre-crisis period (1993-1996), crisis period (19972OO1), and post-crisis period (2002-2005). In the precrisis period, credit channel more stable in transmission mechanism of monetary policy and more effective to push the economic growth. In the crisis, quantum channel did not effective to push economic growth. In the post-crisis period quantum channel also did not effective to push the economic growth."

"Beberapa kesepakatan antara pemerintah Indonesia dan IMF pada waktu yang lalu yang dituangkan dalam Lol (Letter of Intent) beberapa kali antara lain merekomendasikan agar pemerintah Indonesia mengurangi dan selanjutnya menghilangkan beberapa subsidi dalam APBN, agar APBN Iebih efisien. Salah satu subsidi yang terus berkurang adalah subsidi BBM, sehingga setelah subsidi BBM tsb. dikurangi secara bertahap sejak tahun 2000, menyebabkan harga BBM terus naik. Kenaikkan harga BBM sangat berpengaruh pada kehidupan perekonomian baik pada masyarakat maupun pada sektor industri. Analisis ini membahas dampak dan efektivitas pengurangan subsisdi BBM terhadap output sektor industri, dengan menggunakan analisa model INDECGE (Indonesia Energy Computable General Equilibrium Model) yang dibangun tahun 2000 dengan menggunakan tahun dasar data 1998."

"Reducing subnational imbalances of development progress is unquestionable policy for heterogeneous Indonesia. This paper examines the impact of policy that assigns a lagging-region status namely status daerah tertinggal (DT) on poverty rate and poverty gap among districts in Indonesia in the two period of SBY presidency. The panel data fixed effect combined with propensity score matching is used to tackle the selection bias due to the nature of the policy, unobserved heterogeneity and omitted variable bias. The results show that the lagging-region status that was aimed to mainstream central and district?s budget toward lagging regions statistically significant reduces poverty rate and poverty gap in the period. The DT status, on average is associated with 0.75 percentage point of reduction in the poverty rate and 7% reduction in the poverty gap index.AbstrakMenurunkan ketimpangan antar-daerah adalah sebuah agenda kebijakan yang niscaya untuk Indonesia yang majemuk dalam kemajuan ekonomi. Artikel ini berusaha mengukur dampak dari sebuah kebijakan penetapan daerah tertinggal terhadap dua ukuran kemiskinan, yaitu tingkat kemiskinan dan kedalaman kemiskinan pada dua periode masa jabatan Presiden SBY. Metode yang dipergunakan adalah panel data fixed-effect dikombinasikan dengan propensity score matching untuk mengatasi permasalah endogen pada variabel utama yaitu bias dalam seleksi terhadap kebijakan, keragaman daerah yang tidak dapat diukur, dan potensi bias karena ketiadaan variabel-variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap dua ukuran kemiskinan. Hasil pendugaan regresi tersebut menunjukkan bahwa penetapan daerah tertinggal yang ditujukan untuk mengarusutamakan dana pembangunan secara statistik signifikan dan menyebabkan penurunan tingkat kemiskinan dan kedalaman kemiskinan di masa tersebut. Daerah tertinggal secara rata-rata memiliki tingkat kemiskinan lebih rendah sebesar 0.75 (persentase) dan memiliki indeks kedalaman kemiskinan 7% lebih rendah."

"The study about the relationship between climate and economy is essential because it's understanding is the key to formulate the effective economic policy. El Nino is one of the climate phenomena's that directly impact Indonesia, so it is necessary to analyze its effect on the macroeconomic condition such as inflation. This study aims to analyze the impact of El Nino as an external factor and the impact of another relevant economic factor on the macroeconomic condition such as inflation at the regional level (province) in Indonesia. The method used is a spatial panel method to capture the effect of inter-regional spatial interactions. The results show that El Nino has a positive effect on inflation in the southern Indonesian provinces that are affected by El Nino, but no effect in northern Indonesia. The other significant determinants of regional inflation are minimum wage, local revenue, local government spending, and infrastructure. There is significant spatial dependence on regional inflation in Indonesia, indicating that the inflations of its neighboring provinces influence the inflation of a province."

"Traffic accident ranks the ninth largest of the cause of death in Indonesia. The most of researches studying Indonesia on traffic accidents were only blaming on human, motor vehicles, and environment as main culprits, not incorporating economic factors into the models. This study aims to analyze the impact of real gasoline prices on trac accident in Indonesia and the factors of influence them. This research employs time series data from 1970 to 2013 with OLS analysis world crude oil prices as instrument variable. The estimator results show that real price of gasoline and the policy of usage of motorcycle light insignificant on traffic accident. Meanwhile, real GDP and asphalt roads significantly decrease the traffic accident. However, motorcycles significantly increase the traffic accident.

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Kecelakaan lalu lintas menempati urutan kesembilan penyebab kematian di Indonesia. Kebanyakan penelitian kecelakaan di Indoneia menitikberatkan pada faktor manusia, kendaraan, dan lingkungan, tetapi belum ada yang memasukkan faktor-faktor ekonomi ke dalam modelnya. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah ingin mengetahui pengaruh harga riil bensin terhadap kecelakaan lalu lintas di Indonesia serta faktor-faktor yang memengaruhinya. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series Indonesia dari tahun 1970 hingga 2013 dan menggunakan OLS dengan variabel instrumen harga minyak mentah dunia. Hasil estimasi menunjukkan bahwa harga riil bensin dan kebijakan penggunaan lampu utama sepeda motor tidak signifikan terhadap kecelakaan lalu lintas. Sedangkan PDB riil dan jalan aspal signifikan berpengaruh menurunkan kecelakaan. Namun, sepeda motor berdampak signifikan meningkatkan kecelakaan lalu lintas."

"This research is aimed to investigate the influence of final demand and price to Indonesian agregate imports in the long-run and short-run. We use analytical technique cointegration test Iohansen procedures for the long-term influence, and Error Correction Model to estimate the short-term influence, by using quarterly time series data period from_1980 to 2004. From the result of cointegration test and Error Correction Model we found that in the long-term, all of final demand components and price except private investment are important I in determining Indonesian agregate imports. The government expenditure variable has the highest influence, while in the short-term all of independent variables except private consumption are important in determining Indonesian agregate imports and foreign price variable has the highest influence."

"Undang-undang 22/0 dan 25/99 telab merubah pola hubungan pusat-daerah di Indoensia dari pola sentralistik menjadi desentralisis yang efektif berlaku sejak bulan Januari 2001. Lebih jauh pemerintah juga mengeluarkan Peraturan Pemerintah (PP) yang mengatur lebih detail tentang kewajiban dan kewenangan daerah, hutang daerah dan hal lainnya, selain beberapa sektor penting seperti sistem peradilan, agama, keamanan dan hal lain yang masih dibawah tanggung jawab dan kewenangan pemerintah pusat.Konsekuensi langsung dari perubahan ini adalah pemerintah harus mengatur pemerataan dan sustainabilitas anggaran antar daerah. Mengingat karakteristik antar daerah sangat bervariasi dalam hal kandungan sumber daya alam, dan sumber daya manusia, dan juga selepas krisis yang menerpa Indonesia, maka permasalahan yang dihadapi pemerintah pusat dalam menjalankan proses desentralisasi ini, menjadi tidak ringan.Satu hal yang jelas, implementasi proses desentralisasi ini, akan mengurangi penerimaan pemerintah pusat secara langsung sementara agenda peningkatan kesejahteraan, penurunan kesenjangan dan upaya peningkatan pertumbuhan lintas wilayah, sudah didepan mata."

"Indonesia currently adopts a new decentralization policy. In the past, central government had been the major role of regional and cities development. With the new policy, central government has transferred its role in developing cities and regions to the local governments. This policy adopts two complimentary laws. Law No.22/1999, which is basically the devolution policy, has been accompanied by Law No.25/1999, which basically is the fiscal decentralization policy. Both laws reflect that decentralization policy in Indonesia has adopted the concept of "money follows functions".Before the implementation of decentralization policy, the government of cities had been benefited from many facilities built by central government on the city area. With the decentralization policy, it is expected that a reduced role of central government will have a significant impact on the growth of cities in Indonesia. The policy has three major fiscal instruments; a block grant funding, a specific grant and revenue sharing. The block grant funding is considered as the most important instruments of fiscal decentralization in Indonesia. About 80 percent of financial transfer from central to local governments will be in the block grant type of transfer. In the past, the use of transfers was determined by central government specifically. Therefore, the role of block grant was very minimal. With the new fiscal decentralization scheme, the benefits of cities from central government investments are expected to decrease. Therefore, there is a question to what extend the cities will be sustainable in the decentralization era.This paper attempts to answer the impacts of current fiscal decentralization policy on the growth of the cities. The first objective of the paper is to evaluate the current intergovernmental tranfers and their impact to cities revenues. Secondly, by utilizing a regional macroeconometric model, this paper also elaborates the implication of the transfers to the city growth and interregional disparity in Indonesia."