Hasil Pencarian  ::  Simpan CSV :: Kembali

"Skripsi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis perbedaan likuiditas pada Obligasi Negara berdasarkan kelompok maturitasnya, jangka pendek, jangka menengah, dan jangka panjang pada obligasi benchmark dan nonbenchmark tahun 2008-2013 serta hubungan pada kelompok tersebut. Penelitian ini menggunakan obligasi negara benchmark dan nonbenchmark dengan maturitas 5 sampai dengan 30 tahun yang diperdagangkan di pasar sekunder. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah uji beda One Way ANOVA dan Granger Causality. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat perbedaan likuiditas baik dalam jangka pendek, jangka menengah, dan jangka panjang pada obligasi negara benchmark dan nonbenchmark serta terdapat hubungan likuiditas pada kelompok tersebut.

---

This paper aims to analyze the differences in liquidity in treasury bonds by the group of maturity, namely short-term, medium-term and long-term benchmark and nonbenchmark bonds years 2008-2013 as well as the relationships in the group. This study uses a benchmark and nonbenchmark treasury bonds with a maturity of 5 to 30 years traded on the secondary market. The analytical method used is mean difference One Way ANOVA and Granger Causality test. The results showed that there are differences in liquidity both in the short term, medium term and long term benchmark and nonbenchmark bonds and there is a relationship nonbenchmark liquidity in the group."

"Tujuan utama dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisa pengaruh volatilitas suku bunga dan likuiditas pada yield spread obligasi korporasi di Indonesia. Pengaruh yang diberikan oleh volatilitas suku bunga diharapkan berhubungan positif karena semakin tinggi volatilitas suku bunga maka volatilitas utang perusahaan juga semakin membesar sehingga perusahaan rentan terhadap risiko gagal bayar (default risk) oleh karena itu yield spread diekspektasikan akan membesar. Sedangkan pengaruh yang diberikan oleh likuiditas adalah negatif karena risiko investor yang memegang obligasi yang tidak likuid lebih besar dari obligasi yang likuid, sebagai kompensasinya yield obligasi illikuid akan lebih besar dan pada akhirnya yield spread juga semakin membesar. Dalam mengukur likuiditas, peneliti menggunakan pengukuran Amihud (2002) dan Corwin & Schultz (2012) sehingga model penelitian ini terbagi menjadi dua. Penelitian yang dilakukan terhadap 629 obligasi dengan periode 2012-2014 menggunakan Generalized Pooled Least Squared pada kedua model penelitian berhasil menunjukkan hasil yang konsisten dengan teori yang ada.

---

The main purpose in this research is to identify the impact of interest rate volatility and liquidity on corporate bond yield spread in Indonesia. The expected impact given by interest rate volatility is positive because greater interest rate volatility will likely to increase volatility of the firm’s debt making the firm more vulnerable to default risk. Thereby yield spread is expected to increase as the volatility of interest rate increases. On the other hand, liquidity is expected to have negative impact because the risk of holding illiquid bonds is greater than liquid one. To compensate the risk, investor ask for greater yield, thus the yield spread on illiquid bonds are greater. This research has two research models because the liquidity measurement used are Amihud (2002) and Corwin & Schultz (2012). By doing research on 629 bonds in 2012-2014 using Generalized Pooled Least Squares we come by the results are consistent to the theory."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis premi risiko likuiditas obligasi pemerintah Indonesia pada periode tahun 2005 hingga tahun 2019 dan faktor-faktor determinan yang memengaruhinya. Premi risiko likuiditas dihitung dari selisih antara yield to maturity dan theoretical yield serta rata-rata bid-ask spread dari obligasi tersebut. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi data panel dengan model Random Effect untuk menentukan faktor-faktor determinan dari premi risiko tersebut. Berdasarkan penelitian ini diperoleh hasil bahwa premi risiko likuiditas obligasi pemerintah Indonesia relatif kecil dan dipengaruhi oleh karakteristik obligasi dan kondisi pasar keuangan Indonesia. Jumlah obligasi yang diterbitkan dan besar kupon berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap premi risiko obligasi, sedangkan sisa umur obligasi dan umur obligasi berpengaruh signifikan positif terhadap premi risiko obligasi. Obligasi sukuk memiliki premi risiko likuiditas yang lebih besar dibandingkan obligasi konvensional. Dalam keadaan krisis atau pada saat volatilitas pasar keuangan meningkat, premi risiko likuiditas meningkat. Hasil dari penelitian ini diharapkan dapat memperkaya pemahaman tentang risiko likuiditas pada obligasi pemerintah Indonesia yang dapat bermanfaat bagi otoritas fiskal dan moneter dalam mengambil kebijakan dan bagi investor dalam mengambil keputusan investasi.

---

This paper aims to analyze the liquidity risk premium on the Indonesian government bonds. There are two liquidity risk premium proxies to be used, they are the difference between the yield to maturity and the theoretical yield of the obligation and the average bid-ask spread of the obligation. The research uses a regression analysis on the Random Effect panel data model to define the determinant factors of the liquidity risk premium. The result of this research shows that the liquidity risk premium of Indonesian government bonds is relatively small, affected by the bond's characteristics and the financial market condition. The determinant factors are bond's age, coupon rate, remaining life, issued amount, type (Sukuk or conventional), and the Indonesian stock market volatility. The researcher expects that the result of this research will enrich the understanding of the liquidity risk on Indonesian government bonds so that it can be used by the fiscal and monetary authorities and also investors in making decisions."

"Keberhasilan kebijakan moneter bergantung terhadap penciptaan likuiditas bank. Namun, penelitian yang ada tidak menemukan bukti yang jelas bahwa kebijakan moneter memengaruhi penciptaan likuiditas bank agregat. Penelitian ini menunjukan bukti bahwa ilikuiditas pasar obligasi yang memicu terjadinya pengaturan portofolio memberikan pengaruh terhadap penciptaan likuiditas bank. Ditemukan bahwa: 1 kebijakan moneter kontraktif memberikan dampak negatif terhadap ilikuiditas pasar obligasi melalui jalur perubahan tingkat suku bunga 2 ilikuiditas pasar obligasi memberikan dampak positif terhadap penciptaan likuiditas bank akibat perubahan komposisi portofolio bank 3 Kebijakan moneter kontraktif memberikan dampak negatif terhadap penciptaan likuiditas akibat terserapnya dana yang tersedia pada bank ke pasar obligasi.

---

The success of monetary policy depends on bank liquidity creation. However, existing research found no clear evidence that monetary policy affects aggregate bank liquidity creation. This study shows evidence that bond market liquidity stimulates portfolio switching that affects aggregate bank liquidity creation. And find that 1 Tight monetary policy negatively impacts bond market illiquidity through interest rate change 2 Bond market illiquidity positively impacts bank liquidity creation through the bank portfolio switching 3 Tight monetary policy negatively impacts bank liquidity creation due to the absorption of loanable fund to the bond market."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisi hubungan jangka panjang credit default swap, US Treasury Bond, Kurs, dan IHSG terhadap yield obligasi negara denominasi USD. Penelitian dengan metode Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) menggunakan data harian yang terdiri dari yield Obligasi Negara denominasi USD, credit default swap 10tahun, nilai tukar, IHSG, dan tingkat bunga internasional periode bulan Januari 2015 sampai dengan Desember 2018. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode Vector Error Correction Model. Penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa untuk hubungan kointegrasi Periode Penuh antara tahun 2015-2018, output Johansen Cointegration menunjukan ada regresi kointegrasi semua variabel dalam jangka panjang. Berdasarkan olah data menggunakan granger causality, UST dan CDS memiliki hubungan satu arah terhadap IGB, IGB terhadap IDR serta CDS terhadap IHSG. Untuk hubungan kointegrasi antara tahun 2015-2016, output Johansen Cointegration Test menunjukan ada regresi kointegrasi variabel CDS, IDR dan IHSG pada Yield Obligasi Denominasi USD dalam jangka panjang. Berdasarkan olah data menggunakan granger causality, UST dan CDS memiliki hubungan satu arah terhadap IGB, serta CDS terhadap IHSG.

---

This study analyses the long term relationship of credit default swap, us treasury bonds (ust), exchange rate, and composite stock price index variable to yield of the indonesia global bond in us dollar. It applies Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) using daily data consist of yield of the indonesia global bond in us dollar, credit default swap, us treasury bonds (ust), exchange rate, and composite stock price index in the period of January 2015 to December 2018. And uses method of Vector Error Correction Model. This study shows that for a cointegration relationship full period between years 2015-2018, output Johansen Cointegration regression showed cointegration means all variables move together in the long run. Based on the data if using granger causality, the relationship between UST and CDS to IGB has a 1-way relationship, include IGB to IDR, CDS to IHSG. For cointegration relationship sub period between years 2015-2016, output Johansen Cointegration regression showed cointegration in CDS, IDR and IHSG to IGB, means they move together in the long run. Based on the data if using granger causality, the relationship between UST and CDS to IGB has a 1-way relationship, include CDS to IHSG."

"[ABSTRAKTesis ini membahas tentang analisa likuiditas obligasi bank milik Negara yangdiperdagangkan di pasar sekunder selama periode tekanan inflasi Juli 2013. Analisa likuiditasdilakukan dengan menggunakan metode pengukuran Roll. Dari pengukuran ini didapatkankesimpulan bahwa obligasi bank milik Negara yang ditransaksikan pada kurun waktu Juli2012 hingga Juli 2014 tidak dipengaruhi likuiditasnya oleh tekanan inflasi 2013. Hal iniditunjukkan dengan berkurangnya nilai rata-rata roll measure pada masa sebelum tekananinflasi Juli 2013 dan sesudah tekanan inflasi Juli 2013.

---

ABSTRACTThis thesis discusses the liquidity of the state-owned bank bonds traded in thesecondary market during the period of July 2013 inflation. The measurement used in thisresearch to measure liquidity is the measurement that was found by Richard Roll, later calledRoll Measure. By using this measurement, it was concluded that the liquidity of state-ownedbank bonds traded in the period of July 2012 to July 2014 are not affect ed by July 2013inflation. This is shown by the decrease in the average value of roll measure before and afterthe onset of July 2013?s inflation;This thesis discusses the liquidity of the state-owned bank bonds traded in thesecondary market during the period of July 2013 inflation. The measurement used in thisresearch to measure liquidity is the measurement that was found by Richard Roll, later calledRoll Measure. By using this measurement, it was concluded that the liquidity of state-ownedbank bonds traded in the period of July 2012 to July 2014 are not affect ed by July 2013inflation. This is shown by the decrease in the average value of roll measure before and afterthe onset of July 2013?s inflation, This thesis discusses the liquidity of the state-owned bank bonds traded in thesecondary market during the period of July 2013 inflation. The measurement used in thisresearch to measure liquidity is the measurement that was found by Richard Roll, later calledRoll Measure. By using this measurement, it was concluded that the liquidity of state-ownedbank bonds traded in the period of July 2012 to July 2014 are not affect ed by July 2013inflation. This is shown by the decrease in the average value of roll measure before and afterthe onset of July 2013’s inflation]"

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh likuiditas perusahaan dan tingkat suku bunga terhadap yield spread pada perusahaan yang menerbitkan obligasi di Indonesia. Penelitian sebelumnya yang telah dilakukan terkait likuiditas perusahaan adalah penelitian dari Chen, Liao & Tsai (2010), dan untuk tingkat suku bunga adalah penelitian dari dari Kim & Stock (2014). Dalam jurnal Chen, Liao & Tsai (2015), likuiditas perusahaan penerbit diharapkan berpengaruh terhadap yield spread. Kondisi perusahan yang tak tentu akan menyinggung kemampuan likuiditas perusahaan. Tingkat suku bunga berdasarkan jurnal Kim & Stock (2014) diharapkan berpengaruh terhadap spread yield obligasi korporasi. Periode penelitian yang digunakan adalah tahun 2015-2017 dengan menggunakan sampel 18 perusahaan. Penelitian menggunakan Ordinary Least Square pada model penelitian sehingga menunjukkan adanya hasil yang konsisten terhadap teori namun ada yang berbeda dari teori yang digunakan. Dalam penelitian ini menambahkan variabel kontrol yaitu coupon, leverage, logarithm of the rupiah amount of the bond issued, rating, bid-ask proportional dan maturity.

---

The main purpose of this research is to identify the impact of interest rate volatility and liquidity on corporate bond yield spread in Indonesia. Several researchers have done research about corporate liquidity by using Chen, Liao & Tsai (2010) model, and Kim & Stock (2014) journal for researches about the current interest rate. In Chen, Liao & Tsai journal (2010), the corporate liquiditiy is expected to give impact to the yield spread. Uncertain situation in the company will affect the corporate liquidity. According to Kim & Stock (2014), the interest rate is expected to influence to the corporate bond yield spread. This research use 18 sample within 2015-2017 time periode. Researcher uses Ordinary Least Square, so that there is a consistent result of the theory but there is a different result from the theory used. In this research, the following control variables are added: coupon, leverage, logarithm of the rupiah amount of the bond issued, rating, bid-ask proportional and maturity."

"Penelitian ini menganalisis kelayakan dari penerbitan obligasi daerah pada Pemda Provinsi DKI Jakarta dengan melakukan analisis SWOT dan Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) dan membandingkan antara penerbitan obligasi daerah dan mekanisme pembiayaan internal sebagai alternatif sumber pembiayaan infrastruktur daerah dengan adanya keterbatasan anggaran. Analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis SWOT, yaitu dengan mengkaji peluang, ancaman, kelebihan, dan kekurangan dari penerbitan obligasi daerah sebagai sumber dana pembangunan infrastruktur daerah dan analisis Debt Servive Coverage Ratio (DSCR), yaitu perbandingan antara penjumlahan pendapatan asli daerah, bagian daerah dari pajak bumi dan bangunan, penerimaan sumber daya alam dan bagian daerah lainnya serta dana alokasi umum setelah dikurangi belanja wajib, dengan penjumlahan angsuran pokok, bunga dan biaya pinjaman lainnya yang jatuh tempo. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah penerbitan obligasi daarah mempunyai potensi yang menarik untuk digunakan sebagai alternatif atau bahkan solusi untuk mengatasi permasalahan akan kurangnya dana pembiayaan pemerintah untuk proyek pembangunan infrastruktur daerah dan hasil dari penelitian ini adalah dan juga Pemda DKI Jakarta dari segi kemampuan keuangan dalam rangka pelunasan kembali pinjaman daerah yang diukur dengan DSCR, dinyatakan mampu memenuhi nilai DSCR yang disyaratkan dengan melebihi batas minimal yang disyaratkan oleh Menkeu.

---

This study analyzed the feasibility of issuing bonds in the region of Jakarta Provincial Government to conduct a SWOT analysis and a Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) and comparing the issuance of local bonds and internal financing mechanisms as an alternative source of financing local infrastructure with a limited budget. The analysis used in this study is a SWOT analysis, which is to assess the opportunities, threats, strengths, and weaknesses of the issuance of municipal bonds as a source of funding regional infrastructure development and analysis Debt Servive Coverage Ratio (DSCR), which is the ratio between the sum of revenue, the area of land and property taxes, natural resource revenues and other parts of the region as well as the general allocation fund net mandatory spending, the sum of principal, interest and other borrowing costs are due. The results of this study are daarah bonds have interesting potential for use as an alternative or even a solution to overcome the problem of the lack of funds for government financing regional infrastructure development projects and the results of this study are the Jakarta Government and also in terms of financial capacity in order repayment loan areas measured by DSCR, DSCR otherwise be able to meet the required value by exceeding the minimum required by the Minister."

"[ABSTRAKTingginya porsi kepemilikan asing pada Obligasi Negara (ON) domestikdapat meningkatkan likuiditas dan mengurangi biaya pinjaman pemerintah.Namun demikian, hal ini juga menyimpan risiko dalam hal sudden reversal.Penelitian ini mengamati perilaku investor asing di pasar ON domestik denganmempergunakan model vektor auto regresi (VAR). Dua faktor yangmempengaruhi perilaku asing di pasar ON domestik yaitu pull factor atau faktorinternal dan push factor atau faktor eksternal. Hasil temuan dari estimasi VARmenunjukkan bahwa harga minyak, sebagai faktor eksternal, secara positifmenggerakkan arus dana asing.Analisa dari hasil estimasi Impulse Response Function (IRF) menunjukkanbahwa gejolak dari arus dana asing secara negatif saling mempengaruhi yield ON,leading indicator, dan volatilitas nilai tukar, tetapi berpengaruh positif terhadaptingkat suku bunga. Berdasarkan analisa diatas, penelitian ini memiliki implikasikebijakan antara lain perlunya intervensi pemerintah di pasar sekunder melaluibuyback dan debt switch, pemberlakuan minimum holding period, memperkuatfungsi pengawasan dan supervisi, menembangkan kerangka Bond StabilizationFund (BSF), dan mempromosikan obligasi pembiayaan proyek.

---

ABSTRACTHigh foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.;High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.;High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.;High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.;High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.;High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.;High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments? cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds., High foreign ownership of domestic government bonds (GB) could generateliquidity and reduce governments’ cost of borrowing. However, they also containrisk in the case of sudden reversal. This study investigates the behavior of theforeign investors in the domestic Indonesian GB market by applying the vectorauto regression (VAR) model. There are two factors that could determine foreignbehavior in the domestic GB market, namely pull (or internal) factors and push (orexternal) factors. The finding from the VAR estimation provides evidence that oilprice, as a push factor, positively drives foreign capital flows.Dynamic analysis from the Impulse Response Function (IRF) shows that theshock of foreign capital flows negatively respond to GB yield, leading indicator,and exchange rate volatility, and vice versa. However, it has a positive impact oninterest rates and vice versa. Based on its results, this study has important policyimplications, such as government intervention in the secondary market throughbuyback and debt switch, application of a minimum holding period, strengtheningthe control and supervision body, construction of a Bond Stabilization Fundframework, and promotion of project-financing bonds.]"