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Camaro Zetri Ibrahim
Abstrak :
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui tingkat potensi permintaan perjalanan (demand) LRT Jabodebek akibat pengaruh layanan hipotetikal berupa pengumpan (feeder) dengan sistem tarif terpadu serta faktor yang paling memengaruhinya. Rute dan alur layanan dari feeder dirancang dan kemudian dilakukan survei dengan penyebaran kuesioner yang terdiri atas pertanyaan revealed preference dan stated preference untuk mengetahui preferensi populasi terhadap penggunaan LRT Jabodebek akibat adanya layanan feeder yang dihipotesakan. Data responden yang diperoleh dari survei dikelompokkan berdasarkan kategori pendapatan/pemasukkan dan pengguna mobil pribadi, Uji korelasi Spearman Rank yang dilakukan menunjukkan variabel tarif sebagai yang paling berpengaruh terhadap preferensi responden. Kemudian dilakukan analisis regresi logistik untuk menghasilkan fungsi utilitas yang diuji kelayakannya, lalu disusun model prediksi dari fungsi utilitas berupa model logit biner yang diuji validasinya dengan metode Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) untuk menentukan model terbaik. Uji komparasi Kruskal Wallis menghapus pengelompokkan data berdasarkan pendapatan/pemasukkan karena tidak signifikan, sehingga dilakukan pengelompokkan data serta pembentukan model prediksi secara ulang, Model prediksi terbaik diperoleh atas kelompok data pengguna mobil pribadi dengan maksud bekerja/bisnis dengan potensi demand terbesar adalah penggunaan layanan LRT Jabodebek dengan penggunaan layanan feeder dengan tarif layanan sebesar Rp10.000 dengan persentase 67,26%. ......The purpose of this research is to determine the potential demand for LRT Jabodebek’s ridership due to the influence of a hypothetical feeder service with an integrated tariff system and the factors that most affect it. The service scenario and route of the hypothesized feeder service were designed, and then a survey was conducted by distributing a questionnaire consisting of revealed preference and stated preference questions to understand the population's preferences towards using LRT Jabodebek by using the hypothesized feeder service. The respondents’ data obtained from the survey were categorized based on income and private car users. Spearman Rank correlation shows that fare is the most influential variable on the respondents' preferences. Logistic regression analysis was then conducted to produce a utility function whose feasibility was tested, followed by the development of a prediction model from the utility function in the form of a binary logit model validated with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method to determine the best model. The Kruskal Wallis comparative test removed data grouping based on income as it was not significant, so data grouping and prediction model development were reconducted. The best prediction model was obtained from the group of private car users with work/business purposes, with the highest potential demand towards LRT Jabodebek’s ridership is with the usage of the hypothesized feeder service with a fare of Rp10,000 (67.26%). 
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2024
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Hana Nisrina Fathin
Abstrak :
Sebagian besar masyarakat kota lebih memilih bermobilisasi menggunakan angkutan umum, terutama pada jam sibuk (06.00-09.00) atau peak hour. Di satu sisi, angkutan umum pada jam nonsibuk (09.00-16.00) atau off-peak hour, memiliki tingkat penggunaan atau utilitas yang rendah. Salah satu cara untuk meningkatkan tingkat utilitas atau penggunaan angkutan umum pada jam nonsibuk adalah melalui penerapan kebijakan tarif dinamis. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis preferensi dan potensi perpindahan masyarakat dalam menanggapi pemberlakuan tarif dinamis angkutan umum, serta dampaknya pada peningkatan utilitas angkutan di jam nonsibuk. Metode analisis data menggunakan model logit biner dan pendekatan regresi logistik. Setiap fungsi utilitas diuji kelayakannya dengan uji Omnibus, uji Hosmer-Lemeshow, Nagelkerke R Square, dan Overall Percentage. Selanjutnya dilakukan uji validasi menggunakan Root Mean Square Error pada setiap fungsi utilitas. Setelah itu, dilakukan pemilihan model berdasarkan hasil uji kelayakan dan uji validasi. Uji komparasi Mann Whitney dilakukan pada kelompok data menghasilkan terdapat perbedaan karakteristik untuk menentukan pewakilkan model. Dilanjutkan dengan analisis probabilitas permintaan kombinasi penghematan waktu dan tarif diskon dari model terbaik pada kelompok yang diuji. Pengumpulan data dilakukan dengan penyebaran kuesioner berisi pertanyaan revealed preference dengan pendekatan stated preference. Pada penelitian ini, dapat disimpulkan bahwa minat masyarakat untuk meningkatkan utilitas angkutan umum pada jam nonsibuk dipengaruhi oleh penawaran penghematan waktu dan tarif diskon. Potensi permintaan yang berpengaruh ke peningkatan pengguna LRT Jabodebek pada jam nonsibuk berada di angka 70% untuk low income dan 60% untuk high income, serta kombinasi penawaran penghematan waktu dan tarif diskon yang paling efektif adalah di penghematan waktu 10 menit dengan tarif diskon 50% untuk low income dan penghematan waktu 10 menit dengan tarif diskon 30% untuk high income. ......Most urban residents prefer to mobilise using public transport, especially during peak hours (06:00-09:00). On the one hand, public transport during non-peak hours (09.00-16.00) or off-peak hours, has a low level of utilisation. One way to increase the level of utility or use of public transport in off-peak hours is through the implementation of dynamic tariff policies. This study aims to analyse the preferences and potential displacement of people in response to the implementation of dynamic public transport tariffs, as well as its impact on increasing the utility of public transport in off-peak hours. The data analysis method used a binary logit model and logistic regression approach. Each utility function was tested for feasibility with the Omnibus test, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, Nagelkerke R Square, and Overall Percentage. Furthermore, a validation test is carried out using Root Mean Square Error on each utility function. After that, model selection was carried out based on the results of the feasibility test and validation test. The Mann Whitney comparison test was carried out on data groups resulting in differences in characteristics to determine model representation. This was followed by an analysis of the probability of requesting a combination of time savings and discount rates from the best model in the tested group. Data collection was done by distributing questionnaires containing revealed preference and stated preference questions. In this study, it can be concluded that public interest in increasing public transport utility during off-peak hours is influenced by the offer of time savings and discounted fares. The potential demand that affects the increase in Jabodebek LRT users during non-busy hours is at 70% for low income and 60% for high income, and the most effective combination of time saving offers and discount rates is at 10 minutes time savings with a 50% discount rate for low income and 10 minutes time savings with a 30% discount rate for high income.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2024
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Sirait, Efron Franssius Halomoan
Abstrak :
Penelitian ini ditujukan untuk mengetahui potensi perpindahan moda bagi pengguna transportasi umum akibat pengoperasian layanan LRT di Jakarta dengan tarif tertentu. Potensi perpindahan dapat dianalisis dengan menggunakan model pemilihan diskrit logit binominal. Model logit binominal digunakan dengan membangun fungsi utilitas dengan pendekatan regresi logistic. Model regresi dari fungsi utilitas dibangun dari data hasil survei Stated Preference (SP) dan Revealed Preference (RP). Pembangunan model regresi logistik diawali dengan uji korelasi spearman dan kemudian dilakukan uji kelayakan model dari nilai chi-square dengan uji Hosmer & Lemmeshow dan uji Omnibus, nilai -2 Log Likelihood (-2LL), Uji Wald, Nagelkerke R Square, dan Overall Percentage. Berbagai model regresi yang dihasilkan akan divalidasi dengan menggunakan metode Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Pemilihan model regresi dipilih berdasarkan analisi pada hasil uji statistik kelayakan dan validasi model yang terbaik. Selanjutnya model terpilih akan dilakukan uji sensitifitas untuk mengetahui variabel mana yang paling sensitif pada perpindahan moda seseorang. Berdasarkan model regresi yang terpilih maka dapat dilakukan analisis potensi perpindahan moda untuk berpindah ke LRT. Hasil analisis pada penelitian ini dapat menunjukkan potensi perpindahan seseorang berdasarkan parameter yang berpengaruh pada pilihan dan preferensi responden. Penelitian ini juga menghasilkan model regresi terpilih untuk menghitung potensi perpindahan. Dari penelitian ini dapat diketahui tarif LRT yang bersedia dibayarkan oleh calon pengguna LRT sesuai dengan tawaran yang diberikan. Tarif LRT termahal yang mau dibayarkan pengguna Bus Transjakarta (TJ) untuk penghematan waktu 10 menit sebesar Rp 10.000 dan untuk penghematan waktu 20-40 menit sebesar Rp 15.000, sedangkan tarif LRT termahal yang mau dibayarkan pengguna KRL Commuter Line untuk semua penghematan waktu sebesar Rp 15.000. Potensi perpindahan pengguna Bus TJ berdasarkan tarif termahal untuk penghematan waktu 20 menit sebesar 26.61% dan 36.48% pada penghematan waktu 30 menit.
This study aimed to determine the potential for modal shift for users of public transportation due to the operation of LRT services in Jakarta with a certain price. Potential displacement can be analyzed using the discrete binominal logit model selection. The binominal logit model is used by constructing utility functions with a logistic regression approach. Regression models of utility functions are built from data of Stated Preference (SP) and Revealed Preference (RP) survey method. The development of logistic regression models begins with the Spearman correlation test and then the feasibility test of the model from the chi-square value with the Hosmer & Lemmeshow test and the Omnibus test, the Log Likelihood (-2LL) value, Wald Test, Nagelkerke R Square, and Overall Percentage. The various regression models produced will be validated using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method. The selection of the regression model was chosen based on analysis on the results of the best feasibility and validation statistical test results. Furthermore, the selected model will be tested sensitivity to find out which variable is the most sensitive to someone's modal shift. Based on the selected regression model, it can be analyzed the potential for modal shift to move to LRT. The results of the analysis in this study can show the potential for someone displacement based on parameters that affect the choices and preferences of respondents. This study also produced a selected regression model to calculate potential displacement. From this study, it can be seen that LRT rates are willing to be paid by potential LRT users according to the offer given. The most expensive LRT price that Transjakarta Bus (TJ) users want to pay for a 10-minute time savings of Rp 10,000 and for a 20-40 minute time savings of Rp 15,000, while the most expensive LRT price that KRL Commuter Line users want to pay for all time savings of Rp 15,000 . Potential movement of TJ Bus users is based on the most expensive price for a 20-minute time savings of 26.61% and 36.48% for a 30-minute time savings.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2020
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Imanuel Franciskus
Abstrak :
LRT Jakarta dibangun untuk mengatasi permasalahan transportasi di DKI Jakarta, Rencana pembangunan LRT Jakarta akan dilanjutkan dari Velodrome hingga Dukuh Atas. Namun, saat ini terdapat moda transportasi lain dengan rute yang tumpang tindih/overlapping lebih dari 50% dengan LRT Jakarta, yaitu Transjakarta rute Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis variabel yang mempengaruhi berpindahnya pengguna Transjakarta, membuat model fungsi utilitas, dan menganalisis potensi kesediaan berpindah pengguna moda transportasi Transjakarta akibat pengoperasian LRT Jakarta rute Velodrome – Dukuh Atas. Penelitian ini menganalisis kebijakan terbaik terkait status operasional Transjakarta rute Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 ketika LRT Jakarta rute Velodrome – Dukuh Atas beroperasi. Metode analisis penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode analisis kuantitatif yaitu metode analisis data deskriptif dan metode analisis data inferensial (regresi logistik biner). Data yang dibutuhkan pada penelitian ini adalah data perjalanan responden untuk membagi kelompok data dan data preferensi kesediaan berpindah responden. Data tersebut didapat dengan metode survei yaitu metode stated preference dan revealed preference. Hasil data dikelompokkan dan dilakukan uji korelasi Spearman, kemudian dibentuk fungsi utilitas dari variabel yang berkorelasi kuat dan model tersebut diuji dengan uji kelayakan Omnibus dan Hosmer and Lemeshow Test. Selanjutnya, dilakukan uji validitas dengan membentuk model logit biner lalu diuji dengan metode Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) untuk membandingkan data real dan data model. Kemudian, dipilih model terbaik dari masing-masing kelompok data dan diakhiri dengan uji komparatif Mann-Whitney untuk melihat perbedaan dua kelompok data. Berdasarkan hasil model terbaik, potensi perpindahan moda transportasi dari transjakarta ke LRT Jakarta pada tarif Rp8.500 sebesar 5.99% untuk kelompok 1 dan 29.55% untuk kelompok 2. Hasil tersebut menunjukkan bahwa berlanjutnya operasional transjakarta merupakan kebijakan terbaik karena lebih dari 50% dari pengguna Transjakarta Koridor 4 tetap menggunakan Transjakarta ketika LRT Jakarta rute Velodrome – Dukuh Atas beroperasi. ......The Jakarta LRT was built to overcome transportation problems in DKI Jakarta. The Jakarta LRT development plan will continue from the Velodrome to Dukuh Atas. However, currently there are other modes of transportation with routes that overlap more than 50% with the Jakarta LRT, namely Transjakarta Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 route. This study aims to analyze the variables that influence the migration of Transjakarta users, create a utility function model and analyze the willingness potential of Transjakarta users for switching modes of transportation due to the operation of the Jakarta LRT for the Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route. This study analyzes the best policies related to the operational status of Transjakarta route Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 when the Jakarta LRT Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route is operating. The research analysis method used is the quantitative analysis method, namely the descriptive data analysis method and the inferential data analysis method (binary logistic regression). The data needed in this study are data of the respondents' travel routes to divide the data groups and data on the respondents' willingness to switch modes of transportation. The data will be obtained using a survey method, namely stated preference and revealed preference method. The results were then grouped and analyzed using the Spearman rank correlation test, then a utility function was formed from variables that were strongly correlated and the model was tested with the Omnibus and Hosmer & Lemeshow feasibility tests. Furthermore, validity was tested by forming a binary logit model and then tested with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method to compare real data and model data. Then, the best model was selected from each data group and ended with the Mann-Whitney comparative test to see the differences between the two data groups. Based on the results of the best model, the potential for switching modes of transportation from Transjakarta to LRT Jakarta at a rate of IDR 8.500 is 5.99% for group 1 and 29.55% for group 2. These results indicate that continuing Transjakarta operations is the best policy because more than 50% of Transjakarta Corridor 4 users choose to continue using Transjakarta when the Jakarta LRT Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route operatesThe Jakarta LRT was built to overcome transportation problems in DKI Jakarta. The Jakarta LRT development plan will continue from the Velodrome to Dukuh Atas. However, currently there are other modes of transportation with routes that overlap more than 50% with the Jakarta LRT, namely Transjakarta Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 route. This study aims to analyze the variables that influence the migration of Transjakarta users, create a utility function model and analyze the willingness potential of Transjakarta users for switching modes of transportation due to the operation of the Jakarta LRT for the Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route. This study analyzes the best policies related to the operational status of Transjakarta route Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 when the Jakarta LRT Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route is operating. The research analysis method used is the quantitative analysis method, namely the descriptive data analysis method and the inferential data analysis method (binary logistic regression). The data needed in this study are data of the respondents' travel routes to divide the data groups and data on the respondents' willingness to switch modes of transportation. The data will be obtained using a survey method, namely stated preference and revealed preference method. The results were then grouped and analyzed using the Spearman rank correlation test, then a utility function was formed from variables that were strongly correlated and the model was tested with the Omnibus and Hosmer & Lemeshow feasibility tests. Furthermore, validity was tested by forming a binary logit model and then tested with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method to compare real data and model data. Then, the best model was selected from each data group and ended with the Mann-Whitney comparative test to see the differences between the two data groups. Based on the results of the best model, the potential for switching modes of transportation from Transjakarta to LRT Jakarta at a rate of IDR 8.500 is 5.99% for group 1 and 29.55% for group 2. These results indicate that continuing Transjakarta operations is the best policy because more than 50% of Transjakarta Corridor 4 users choose to continue using Transjakarta when the Jakarta LRT Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route operatesThe Jakarta LRT was built to overcome transportation problems in DKI Jakarta. The Jakarta LRT development plan will continue from the Velodrome to Dukuh Atas. However, currently there are other modes of transportation with routes that overlap more than 50% with the Jakarta LRT, namely Transjakarta Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 route. This study aims to analyze the variables that influence the migration of Transjakarta users, create a utility function model and analyze the willingness potential of Transjakarta users for switching modes of transportation due to the operation of the Jakarta LRT for the Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route. This study analyzes the best policies related to the operational status of Transjakarta route Pulogadung 2 – Dukuh Atas 2 when the Jakarta LRT Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route is operating. The research analysis method used is the quantitative analysis method, namely the descriptive data analysis method and the inferential data analysis method (binary logistic regression). The data needed in this study are data of the respondents' travel routes to divide the data groups and data on the respondents' willingness to switch modes of transportation. The data will be obtained using a survey method, namely stated preference and revealed preference method. The results were then grouped and analyzed using the Spearman rank correlation test, then a utility function was formed from variables that were strongly correlated and the model was tested with the Omnibus and Hosmer & Lemeshow feasibility tests. Furthermore, validity was tested by forming a binary logit model and then tested with the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method to compare real data and model data. Then, the best model was selected from each data group and ended with the Mann-Whitney comparative test to see the differences between the two data groups. Based on the results of the best model, the potential for switching modes of transportation from Transjakarta to LRT Jakarta at a rate of IDR 8.500 is 5.99% for group 1 and 29.55% for group 2. These results indicate that continuing Transjakarta operations is the best policy because more than 50% of Transjakarta Corridor 4 users choose to continue using Transjakarta when the Jakarta LRT Velodrome – Dukuh Atas route operates.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2023
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Lubis, Ratu Sarah Nadia
Abstrak :
Depok City is one of the supporting cities for the capital city of Jakarta where the majority of commuters have trip purposes in Jakarta. However, a large number of commuters chooses to use private vehicles rather than public transportation. In designing public transportation, the concept of accessibility is needed for all people. Whereas, in Depok City, much development must be done to improve the accessibility of these services from the homes of its users. This study aims to determine the users’ preferences for a residential transportation service that serves as a feeder for Depok Semi Transit Bus (BST Depok). In the development of the model, several tests were conducted. Correlation Test using the Spearman’s’ Rank and stepwise testing method to determine the most influential independent variables. Based on the selected variables, the model development was continued with feasibility testing using Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients and Hosmer and Lemeshow Test, and validation of the research model using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) Method. The research model then undergoes a comparative testing using the Kruskal Wallis and Mann-Whitney test method. Data was obtained based on survey results using the Revealed Preference and Stated Preference methods. This study provides two route alternatives to then be analysed which route was preferred by potential users. The data obtained were grouped into categories and cleared using Boxplot Analysis. Based on the results of the model analysis, the variables that have the most influence on users’ preferences is tariff. The results of the potential demand of feeder services based on tariff preferences of Rp 5,700 for the 1st route alternative and Rp 7,100 for the 2nd route alternative shows a higher potential demand on the 2nd route alternative for motorcycles, cars, and hybrid users with external trips and a higher potential demand for the 1st route alternative for public transportation users with external trips. ...... Kota Depok merupakan salah satu kota pendukung ibu kota Jakarta dimana mayoritas komuter memiliki tujuan perjalanan di Jakarta. Namun, sebagian besar komuter memilih menggunakan kendaraan pribadi daripada angkutan umum. Dalam merancang transportasi publik, konsep aksesibilitas diperlukan untuk semua orang. Dimana, di Kota Depok, banyak pembangunan yang harus dilakukan untuk meningkatkan aksesibilitas layanan tersebut dari rumah para penggunanya. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui potensi permintaan dan preferensi pengguna terhadap layanan angkutan perumahan yang berfungsi sebagai angkutan pengumpan Bus Semi Transit (BST) Depok. Metode analisis menggunakan model logit binomial dengan fungsi utilitas yang dikembangkan menggunakan pendekatan regresi logistik. Uji Korelasi menggunakan Spearman’s Rank dan metode Stepwise yang digunakan untuk menentukan variabel bebas yang paling berpengaruh. Berdasarkan variabel terpilih, pengembangan model dilanjutkan dengan uji kelayakan menggunakan Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients dan Hosmer and Lemeshow Test, serta uji validasi model penelitian menggunakan metode Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Model penelitian kemudian dilakukan pengujian komparatif dengan menggunakan metode uji Kruskal Wallis dan Mann-Whitney. Data diperoleh berdasarkan hasil survei dengan menggunakan metode Revealed Preference dan Stated Preference. Studi ini memberikan dua alternatif rute untuk kemudian dianalisis rute yang lebih disukai oleh calon pengguna. Data yang diperoleh dikelompokkan ke dalam kategori dan dibersihkan menggunakan Boxplot Analysis. Berdasarkan hasil analisis model, variabel yang paling berpengaruh terhadap preferensi pengguna adalah tarif. Hasil potensi permintaan feeder service berdasarkan preferensi tarif Rp 5.700 dan preferensi waktu tunggu 12 menit untuk rute alternatif 1 dan preferensi tarif Rp 7.100 dan preferensi waktu tunggu 13 menit untuk rute alternatif 2 menunjukkan potensi permintaan yang lebih tinggi pada rute alternatif 2 bagi pengguna sepeda motor, mobil, dan hybrid dengan perjalanan eksternal dan potensi permintaan yang lebih tinggi pada rute alternatif 1 bagi pengguna angkutan umum dengan perjalanan eksternal.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2023
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Novatama Artha Putra Romadhony
Abstrak :
Dengan perkembangan Kota Depok, dan tidak bertambahnya panjang jalan, kemacetan masih menjadi masalah yang harus diselesaikan Kota Depok. Layanan transportasi umum menjadi salah satu alternatif yang dapat ditawarkan untuk menyelesaikan masalah tersebut, salah satunya adalah konsep Bus Semi Transit (BST). BST sendiri memiliki satu tiga alternatif trayek yang ditawarkan dari koridor-1, yaitu trayek 1-A, trayek 1-B dan trayek 1-C. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendapatkan preferensi masyarakat untuk trayek-trayek koridor-1 BST Kota Depok, mendapatkan potensi permintaan layanan trayek-trayek koridor-1 BST Kota Depok serta menentukan trayek prioritas sesuai dengan demand masyarakat. Metode survei yang digunakan adalah Stated Preference dengan membuat beberapa kondisi hipotetikal terkait layanan BST Kota Depok. Metode dalam analisis data menggunakan pendekatan model logit biner, di mana pada suatu kelompok data akan diuji korelasi, kelayakan hingga validasi untuk melihat model mana yang terbaik dari setiap kelompok data tersebut. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dari ketiga trayek yang ditawarkan, trayek B yang menjadi prioritas dikarenakan sesuai dengan probabilitas potensi permintaan layanan yaitu sebesar 94% untuk tarif layanan Rp. 5.000 serta probabilitas potensi permintaan layanan sebesar 86% jika ditawarkan dengan frekuensi moda setiap 5 menit. ......Depok city development is not accompanied by an increase in the length of the road, congestion is still a problem that must be resolved by Depok City. Public transportation services are an alternative that can be offered to solve this problem, one of which is the Bus Semi Transit (BST) concept. BST itself has three alternative routes offered from corridor-1, namely route 1-A, route 1-B and route 1-C. This study aims to obtain community preferences for Depok City BST corridor-1 routes, obtain potential demand for services for Depok City BST corridor-1 routes and determine priority routes according to community requests. The survey method used is Stated Preference by making several hypothetical conditions related to Depok City BST services. The method in data analysis uses a binary logit model approach, in which a group of data will be tested for correlation, feasibility test, and validation test to see which model is the best from each data group. The results show that of the three routes offered, route B is the priority because it is in accordance with the probability of potential service requests, which is 94% for the rate of Rp. 5,000 and the probability of a potential service request of 86% if it is offered with a mode frequency of every 5 minutes.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2022
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Luky Ariningrum
Abstrak :
Jakarta sebagai kota megapolitan, dengan beragam aktivitas dan berkembangnya mobilitas mengakibatkan permasalahan transportasi. Salah satu terobosan untuk mengatasi masalah tersebut dengan dibangunnya sistem transit cepat berskala massal atau Mass Rapid Transit (MRT). Untuk meningkatkan aksesibilitas MRT sebagai sistem utama yaitu dengan disediakannya layanan feeder. Data yang diperoleh dari website jakartamrt.co.id yaitu selama 6 bulan (bulan April- September 2019) rata-rata jumlah penumpang MRT per hari adalah 83.473 orang, sedangkan perusahaan memperkirakan akan mengangkut lebih dari 174.000 orang setiap harinya. Dalam hal ini penumpang yang diharapkan untuk menaiki MRT masih kurang dari kapasitas yang disediakan. Tarif terintegrasi dimaksudkan untuk mengurangi biaya transfer sehingga menarik bagi penumpang. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis kemampuan dan kesediaan penumpang terhadap tarif terintegrasi feeder service dengan MRT. Sehingga dilakukan analisis Ability To Pay (ATP) dan Willingness to Pay (WTP), dengan faktor yang dianggap berpengaruh dalam penelitian ini adalah biaya, waktu dan kenyamanan berpindah moda. Pengolahan data hasil survey stated preference dilakukan dengan analisis Model Logit Biner. Dari hasil penelitian adalah nilai ATP diatas nilai WTP, maka masyarakat dianggap mampu untuk membayar tarif terintegrasi yang diikuti peningkatan pelayanan seperti kemudahan berpindah moda, sedangkan untuk tarif saat ini berada dibawah nilai WTP dan ATP sehingga terdapat keleluasaan dalam perhitungan/ pengajuan nilai tarif baru (Tamin et.al., 1999), untuk itu perlu dilakukan evaluasi tarif lebih lanjut ......Jakarta as a megapolitan city with a variety of activities and growing mobility has problems. One of the breakthroughs to overcome this problem is the construction of a mass-scale rapid transit system or Mass Rapid Transit (MRT). To increase the accessibility of the MRT as the main system by providing feeder services. The data obtained from the jakartamrt.co.id website is that for 6 months (April-September 2019) the average number of MRT passengers per day is 83,473 people, while the company estimates that it will carry more than 174,000 people every day. In this case the passengers expected to ride the MRT are still less than the capacity provided. Integrated fares are intended to reduce transfer costs so that they are attractive to passengers. The purpose of this research is to analyse the ability and willingness of passengers to the integrated fare of feeder service with MRT. So that analysis of Ability To Pay (ATP) and willingness To Pay (WTP) is carried out, with factors that are considered influential in this study are cost, time and convenience of changing modes. Stated preference survey data processing was performed using The Binary Logit Model analysis. From the results of the research, the ATP value is above the WTP value, so the community is considered capable of paying integrated rates which are followed by service improvements such as ease of transferring modes, while the current rates are below the WTP and ATP values so that there is flexibility in calculating / submitting new tariff rates (Tamin et.al., 1999), it is necessary to evaluate further rates.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2021
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UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Yoga Arkananta
Abstrak :
Kota Bogor berada di tengah wilayah Kabupaten Bogor serta lokasinya cukup dekat dengan lingkup Jabodetabek sehingga mobilitas masyarakat semakin tinggi. Namun, terdapat beberapa layanan angkutan umum yang tidak efisien di Kota Bogor sehingga diperlukan alternatif untuk meningkatkan layanan angkutan umum di Kota Bogor. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis preferensi masyarakat terhadap layanan Trem di Kota Bogor. Metode analisis pada penelitian ini menggunakan model logit biner yang dibangun berdasarkan hasil data survei primer dengan metode Stated Preference. Model fungsi utilitas dibangun dengan pendekatan regresi logistik yang dikelompokkan berdasarkan karakteristik perjalanan dan moda transportasi. Pembentukan fungsi utilitas pada setiap kelompok dibangun dengan variabel yang berkorelasi dan signifikan berdasarkan uji korelasi Spearman serta terpilih melalui metode stepwise. Setiap fungsi utilitas diuji kelayakannya dengan uji Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients, Hosmer and Lameshow Test, Overall Percentage, -2 Log Likelihood, dan Nagelkerke R Square. Selanjutnya dilakukan uji validasi antara data real dengan data model menggunakan Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Setelah itu, dilakukan pemilihan model terbaik berdasarkan hasil uji kelayakan dan validasi serta dilakukan pengujian komparasi menggunakan Mann-Whitney. Berdasarkan hasil analisis, ditetapkan enam model terpilih dengan variabel yang paling berpengaruh terhadap preferensi masyarakat, yaitu tarif, waktu tunggu, penghematan waktu, dan selisih biaya. Potensi penggunaan layanan Trem berdasarkan preferensi tarif Rp5.500 pada kendaraan umum eksternal sebesar 93.96%, pada kendaraan mobil internal sebesar 76.69%, dan pada kendaraan motor eksternal sebesar 93.36%. Sedangkan tingkat potensi penggunaan layanan Trem berdasarkan preferensi waktu tunggu 5 menit pada kendaraan umum internal sebesar 91.88% dan pada waktu tunggu 10 menit sebesar 86.39%. ......Bogor City is located in the middle of Bogor Regency and is quite close to the Jabodetabek area, resulting in higher community mobility. However, there are several inefficient public transport services in Bogor City so that alternatives are needed to improve public transport services in Bogor City. This study aims to analyze people's preferences for Tram services in Bogor City. The analysis method in this study uses a binary logit model built based on the results of primary survey data with the Stated Preference method. The utility function model was built with a logistic regression approach grouped by travel characteristics and transportation modes. The formation of utility functions in each group was built with variables that were correlated and significant based on the Spearman correlation test and selected through the stepwise method. Each utility function was tested for feasibility using the Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients, Hosmer and Lameshow Test, Overall Percentage, -2 Log Likelihood, and Nagelkerke R Square. Furthermore, a validation test is carried out between real data and model data using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). After that, the best model selection was carried out based on the results of the feasibility and validation tests and comparative testing using Mann-Whitney. Based on the results of the analysis, six models were selected with the most influential variables on public preferences, namely tariff, waiting time, time savings, and cost difference. The potential use of Tram services based on tariff preferences of Rp5,500 on external public vehicles amounted to 93.96%, on internal car vehicles amounted to 76.69%, and on external motor vehicles amounted to 93.36%. While the level of potential use of Tram services based on 5-minute waiting time preferences on internal public vehicles amounted to 91.88% and at a waiting time of 10 minutes amounted to 86.39%.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2023
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Antonius Hendro Agung Laksono
Abstrak :
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui tarif yang diinginkan serta potensi perpindahan bagi pengguna sepeda motor dan angkutan umum akibat pengoperasian layanan rel terintegrasi di Jakarta, dimana dalam analisisnya berbasis pada model pemilihan diskrit logit binomial. Sebelum membuat model, perlu dibangun fungsi utilitas dengan menggunakan pendekatan regresi logistik berdasarkan karakteristik sosio ekonomi, karakteristik perjalanan, dan karakteristik layanan. Data penelitian didapatkan menggunakan metode survei Stated Preference (SP) untuk mengetahui preferensi responden dari kondisi yang sifatnya hipotetikal dan metode survei Revealed Preference (RP) untuk mengetahui karakteristik perjalanan responden. Data penelitian akan dilakukan uji korelasi spearman, lalu dibentuk fungsi utilitas dan diuji kelayakan menggunakan nilai Chi-Square dengan uji Hosmer & Lemmeshow dan uji Omnibus. Model lalu diuji validasi dengan menggunakan metode Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Model dipilih berdasarkan uji statistik kelayakan dan validasi model yang terbaik. Selanjutnya model terpilih dilakukan uji sensitifitas untuk mengetahui variabel mana yang paling sensitif pada perpindahan moda seseorang. Hasil dari analisis tersebut adalah variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap pilihan responden, model terbaik, dan potensi perpindahan moda. Variabel yang berpengaruh pada penelitian ini adalah biaya perjalanan dan penghematan waktu untuk pengguna sepeda motor dan Transjakarta sedangkan untuk pengguna kereta komuter adalah biaya perjalanan, penghematan waktu, dan tarif yang ditetapkan. Potensi perpindahan pengguna sepeda motor adalah 70% untuk penghematan waktu 10 menit dan 84% untuk penghematan waktu 40 menit; pengguna TransJakarta memiliki potensi perpindahan sebesar 62% untuk penghematan waktu 10 menit dan 83% untuk penghematan waktu 40 menit; dan pengguna kereta komuter memiliki potensi perpindahan sebesar 55.4% untuk penghematan waktu 10 menit dan 73.8% untuk penghematan waktu 40 menit jika tarif sebesar Rp 10.000. Dimana jika menggunakan tarif termahal Rp 15.000, pengguna kereta komuter memiliki potensi perpindahan sebesar 25.4% untuk penghematan waktu 10 menit dan 43.5% untuk penghematan waktu 40 menit. ......This study aims to find out the desired rates and shift mode potential for motorcycle and public transportation users due to the operation of integrated rail services in Jakarta. The study was based on a binomial logit discrete selection models. To use the binomial logit model, it is necessary to build utility functions using a logistic regression approach based on socioeconomic characteristics, travel characteristics, and service characteristics. Data research was obtained using Stated Preference (SP) survey method to find out respondents' preferences from hypothetical conditions and Revealed Preference (RP) survey method to find out the respondent's travel characteristics. After that, the analysis of Willingness to Shift (WTS) of a person or the potential displacement of transportation users is commonly used to switch to an integrated rail network. The fare that best suits the choice of prospective passengers integrated rail network is based by Willingness to Pay (WTP). The potential for displacement is obtained through the design of the binary logit model of choice mode using logistic regression analysis. The research data will be done spearman correlation test, then formed utility function and tested feasibility using chi-square value with Hosmer & Lemmeshow test and Omnibus test. The resulting model will be validated using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) method. Models are selected based on the best feasibility statistics and validation tests. Furthermore, the selected model will be tested for sensitivity to find out which variables are most sensitive to a person's mode shift. The results of the analysis are variables that affect respondents' choice, best model, and potential mode displacement.The variables that influenced this study were expenses, saving time, and set fares. The potential mode-change of motorcycle users is 70% for time savings of 10 minutes and 84% for 40-minute time savings; TransJakarta users have a transfer potential of 62% for 10-minute time savings and 83% for 40-minute time savings; and commuter train users have a transfer potential of 55.4% for time savings of 10 minutes and 73.8% for a 40-minute time saving if the fare is Rp 10,000. Where if using the highest fare Rp 15.000, commuter train users have the potential to move by 25.4% for a time saving of 10 minutes and 43.5% for a time saving of 40 minutes.
Depok: Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia, 2021
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library