Hasil Pencarian  ::  Simpan CSV :: Kembali

"Penelitian ini berfokus untuk membangun sistem peringatan dini bagi krisis nilai tukar dan krisis perbankan di Indonesia. Tujuan tersebut dicapai dengan menemukan indikator penentu bagi setiap kasus krisis dengan membandingkan dua pendekatan, yakni estimasi multivariat logit dan ekstraksi sinyal. Output dari kedua pendekatan akan menjadi indikator penentu bagi sistem peringatan dini di Indonesia. Studi ini menggunakan data kuartal Indonesia periode 1990-2010. Penelitian ini menemukan bahwa pertumbuhan cadangan devisa, rasio M2 terhadap cadangan devisa, dan pertumbuhan M2 sebagai indikator penentu untuk krisis nilai tukar serta nilai tukar riil, rasio neraca berjalan terhadap PDB, dan deposito bank komersial sebagai indikator penentu untuk krisis perbankan.

---

This study focuses on developing early warning system for currency crises and banking crises in Indonesia. It is achieved by determining leading indicators for each case of crises and comparing two approaches, i.e. multivariate logit estimation and signal extraction. Outcomes from both approaches will be joined into the set of leading indicators for early warning system in Indonesia. This study uses quarterly data for Indonesia in the period of 1990 until 2010. It is found that growth of foreign reserves, M2 to foreign reserves ratio, and growth of M2 are leading indicators for currency crises and real exchange rate, current account to GDP ratio, and commercial bank deposits are leading indicators for banking crises."

"[ABSTRAKPenulisan skripsi ini dilatarbelakangi oleh belum adanya payung hukum terhadap protokol manajemen krisis untuk mencegah dan menangani krisis perbankan yang terjadi di Indonesia. Krisis perbankan tersebut berdampak bukan hanya bagi kegiatan perekonomian negara, melainkan bagi keadaan politik yang begitu luas. Dalam penulisannya, metode yang digunakan adalah yuridis normatif, yaitu metode yang dilakukan dengan meneliti bahan pustaka atau data sekunder.Tesis ini menyoroti sejarah krisis perbankan yang melanda Indonesia dan Inggris dan bagaimana mekanisme dan aplikasi Jaring Pengaman Sistem Keuangan yang ada pada masing-masing negara tersebut. Adapun pertimbangan yang melatarbelakangi penulis untuk mengakat tema ini adalah, kedua negara tersebut sama-sama terkena imbas krisis subprime mortgage dari US pada tahun 2008 dan keduanya sama-sama mengalami krisis perbankan akibat satu bank kecil yang berdampak sistemik. Namun, saat ini Inggris sudah memiliki Undang-Undang yang mengatur koordinasi antar lembaga/otoritas dalam mencegah krisis dan menjaga Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan negaranyaABSTRACTThe writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country;The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country;The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country;The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country;The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country;The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country;The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country, The writing of this thesis motivated by the absence of legal protection against the crisis management protocol to prevent and deal with the banking crisis that occurred in Indonesia. The banking crisis has an impact not only for the economic activities of the country, but also for a broad political circumstances. Method used in this writing is juridical-normative writing, which is done by examining material library or a mere secondary data.This thesis highlights the history of banking crisis that hit Indonesia and the UK and how the mechanism and application of the Financial System Safety Net that exist in each of these countries. As for the considerations underlying the author, to the theme of this is that these two countries are equally affected by the subprime mortgage crisis on the US in 2008 and both are experiencing a banking crisis as a result of a small bank with systemic impact. However, this time the UK already has a law that regulates the coordination between agencies / authorities in preventing crises and maintaining financial system stability country]"

"Penelitian ini bertujuan membuat model early warning system yang mampu memprediksi financial distress pada bank umum di Indonesia. Model early warning system dibuat dengan mengestimasi indikator yang menyebabkan suatu bank mengalami permasalahan finansial sehingga harus diberhentikan oleh pemerintah. Estimasi dilakukan dengan menggunakan tiga metode, yaitu analisis diskriminan, pooled logit, dan panel logit. Data yang digunakan untuk membuat model berupa rasio keuangan bank 1994-1997 yang berasal dari Direktori Perbankan Indonesia (DPI). Sedangkan untuk pengujian out-sample menggunakan data tahun 1998. Model yang dibuat digunakan untuk memprediksi financial distress bank di atas tahun 2000. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan beberapa ciri bank yang akan tutup pada dua atau tiga tahun ke depan. Selain itu, model early warning system yang dibuat mampu memprediksi financial distress pada bank umum di Indonesia.

---

This research aims to create early warning system models for predicting financial distress on Indonesian commercial banks. Early warning system models is made by estimating bank indicators that led bank run into financial problems which to be shut down by the government. Estimation use three methods, discriminant analysis, pooled logit, and panel logit. The data used to create models is bank's financial ratios in 1994-1997 gathered from Direktori Perbankan Indonesia (DPI). Out of the sample test use the data in 1998. All model were used to predict the bank's financial distress after 2000. This study found some characteristics of distressed banks that will be in the state of failure in two or three years. Finally, this research found that early warning system models is able to predict the probability of financial distress on commercial banks.;"

"Penelitian ini menganalisis tentang faktor ? faktor spesifik bank, industri, dan makroekonomi yang mempengaruhi risiko bank di Indonesia. Peneliti menggunakan data penelitian dari periode 2003 sampai dengan 2012, yang dalam periode tersebut terdapat krisis global 2008. Peneliti menemukan fakta bahwa struktur aset, tingkat kapitalisasi, pendanaan non-deposito, pasar yang terkonsentrasi, dan inflasi secara signifikan mempengaruhi risiko bank secara searah sedangkan tingkat profitabilitas di tahun sebelumnya, efisiensi, ukuran bank, pertumbuhan ekonomi, tingkat pengangguran, tingkat suku bunga, indeks nilai tukar mata uang Rupiah terhadap mata uang asing, dan indeks harga saham gabungan perusahaan non-keuangan secara signifikan berpengaruh terhadap risiko bank dengan arah yang berlawanan. Kemudian, peneliti juga menemukan bahwa pertumbuhan kredit bank hanya signifikan berpengaruh negatif pada periode 2008-2012. Selain itu, ditemukan bahwa tingkat profitabilitas di tahun lalu menjadi variabel yang semakin signifikan saat terjadi krisis global 2008.

---

This study analyzes the bank-specific, industry, and macroeconomic factors affecting bank risk in Indonesia. Researcher used a study period from year 2003 to 2012, which in that period there is a global crisis of 2008. Resercher found that asset structure, capitalization, non-deposit funding, a concentrated market, and inflation significantly affect the bank risk in positive direction, while level of profitability in the previous year, efficiency, bank size, economic growth, unemployment rate, interest rates, exchange rate index, and stock market index of non-financial firms inversely significant in influencing bank risk. Then, the researcher also found that loan growth was only significant during the research period of 2008-2012. In addition, it was found that profitability level in year before is the only factor which is getting more significant in affectingbank risk in Indonesia in period of 2008 global crisis."

"ABSTRAKKrisis Perbankan yang terjadi pada tahun 1997-1998 membuktikan bahwa berbagai permasalahan pada sektor perbankan yang tidak dapat di deteksi secara dini akan mengakibatkan hilangnya kepercayaan masyarakat pada industri perbankan. Di perlukan koordinasi yang baik oleh setiap lembaga keuangan untuk mendeteksi indikator krisis secara dini untuk mencegah krisis. Dengan terbitnya Undang Undang Nomor 9 Tahun 2016 tentang Pencegahan dan Penangan Krisis Sistem Keuangan di harapkan dapat menjadi payung hukum untuk mencegah dan menangani krisis di Indonesia. Komite Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan yang terdiri dari Menteri Keuangan, Bank Indonesia, Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, dan Lembaga Penjamin Simpanan di harapkan dapat menjaga stabilitas sistem keuangan sehingga Indonesia dapat bertahan dari faktor-faktor krisis baik secara internal maupun eksternal. Skripsi ini menggunakan metode yuridis normatif dengan menganalisa undang-undang yang ada untuk menentukan cara pencegahan dan penganan krisis dalam sistem perbankan di Indonesia. Dari hasil penelitian, Undang Undang Nomor 9 Tahun 2016 merupakan landasan hukum yang kuat untuk di gunakan dalam mencegah dan mengangani krisis. Hasil penelitian menyarankan bahwa di perlukannya peraturan lanjutan untuk lembaga keuangan dalam menangani krisis agar dapat berkoordinasi dengan baik.

---

ABSTRAKThe Banking Crisis that occurred in 1997 1998 proves that various problems in the banking sector that cannot be early detected will result in loss of public confidence in the banking industry. The need of good coordination between each financial institution to detect early crisis indicators to prevent a crisis is important for the stability of financial system. With the issuance of Act of Republic of Indonesia No. 9 of 2016 concerning Prevention and Handling of Crisis in Financial System is expected to be a legal foundation to prevent and handle the crisis in Indonesia. The Financial System Stability Committee which consist of Ministry of Finance, Bank Indonesia, the Financial Services Authority and the Deposit Insurance Agency is expected to maintain the stability of the financial system so that Indonesia can survive from both internally and externally crisis factor. This thesis uses normative judicial method by analyzing existing laws to determine the prevention and handling of crisis in Indonesian Banking System. From the results of the thesis, Law No. 9 of 2016 can be considered as strong legal basis to prevent and handle the crisis. The study suggested there must be a new issuance of further regulations for financial institutions in dealing with the crisis in order to maintain good coordination between them. "