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"Reformasi administrasi pemerintah subnasional merupakan hal yang tak dapat ditunda-tunda. Persoalannya adalah bagaimana melakukannya. Bagaimana strateginya. Dengan latar belakang lingkungan lokal, nasional, regional, serta internasional yang tidak menentu. Disertasi ini memakai pendekatan scenario planning dalam membangun strategi reformasi administrasi pemerintah subnasional. Untuk itu dibutuhkan tiga tahapan penelitian yang sekaligus dicerminkan oleh tiga pokok permasalahan. Masing-masing adalah: pertama, bagaimanakah potret administrasi publik pemerintah subnasional di Indonesia saat ini? Kedua, bagaimanakah deskripsi skenario lingkungan administrasi publik (aspek sosial-politik dan ekonomi) pemerintah subnasional pada tahun 2025? Ketiga, bagaimanakah grand strategy reformasi administrasi publik pemerintah subnasional sampai tahun 2025?

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Administrative Reform at the subnational level is very urgent business to be done. The questions are how to implement it and what is the strategy to implement it. With the local, national, regional and international uncertainty this dissertation, using scenario planning, try to develop strategy for administrative reform at the subnational level in indonesia. This has been done through three stages of research which is reflected by three main research problems. First, what are the pictures of the subnational public administration in indonesia now? Second, what are the scenarios of the environment (social aspect, political aspect and economic aspect) of public administration at the subnational level at the year 2025? Third, what is the administrative reform grand strategy of the public administration at the subnational level in Indonesia until the year 2025?"

"The research aimed to construct the scenario of sub-national government administration in Indonesia and its available alternatives. The approach used was qualitative approach with the method of focus group discussion (FGD) and in-depth interview with economic and social politicians and bureaucrats. In addition secondary data were used to support the result. Two scenarios of the environment of Indonesian sub-national administration for 2025 are gained from two FGDs: the Utopian Scenario and Tumble into the Gutter Scenario. According to the first FGD, the utopian scenario is less likely to happen within the next 20 years, while the tumble-into-the-gutter scenario is considered more likely, especially if the recent condition is long-drawn-out, the homework is never done, and there is lack of awareness from national and local political elites on the recent crisis."

"The year 1999 has been marked as the reform era where the old law on regional autonomy has been replaced with the new ones, i.e. Law Number 22 Year 1999 and Law Number 32 Year 2004. These two new laws have promoted the emergence of new local governments throughout Indonesia, as a process of amalgamation. Between 1999 and 2007 there were 173 new local governments emerged. The assumption that amalgamation will bring more fund and development to the new region (local government) has been the reason why this phenomenon emerged. The Municipality of Sambas is one of the examples. This study has been conducted according to Government Regulation Number 129 Year 2007, to find out whether the Municipality of Sambas was feasible to be amalgamated into three Municipalities. The result of the study shows that based on the indicators stated in Government Regulation Number 129 Year 2007, the amalgamating is not feasible."