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"The main purpose of this study is to identify determinant factors of regional inflation in the decentralized Indonesia. Inflation nowadays may spread widerly and more difficult to handle than in the past. This condition has created difficulties for the central bank to maintain targeted inflation. The study employs field surveys and econometric tools. The field surveys are conducted in six cities--Medan, Semarang, Surakarta, Palu, Banjarmasin, and Pontianak. It is found from the cross tabulation that regional inflation is significantly affected by the infrastructure condition in the corresponding regions. Aside from the infrastructure condition, the logistic analysis concludes that regional inflation is also affected by local regulations. However, infrastructure still has a larger effect on inflation. The econometric methodology use unit root and Engle-Granger cointegration tests to prove whether the purchasing power parity among regions holds. It is found that purchasing power parity does not hold for all regions. Another tool is the variance decomposition?it is used to determine whether regional inflation is dominantly monetary or non-monetary factors. This study found that non-monetary factors are main contributors to regional inflation. Pooled data estimation with fixed effect shows that inflation is significantly influenced by non-monetary factors--the growths of local government revenues, routine expenditures, and local transportation costs. Local government routine expenditures have the largest elasticity on inflation. "

"Contents - Tables - Figures - Contributors - Acknowledgments - Glossary - Map of Indonesia - 1. An introduction to the issues - Part 1: Historical, economic, political and social patterns - 2. Before the 'big bang': decentralization debates and practice in Indonesia, 1949? 99 - 3. Indonesia's decentralization: the rise of local identities and the survival of the nation-state - 4. Hares and tortoises: regional development dynamics in Indonesia - 5. Patterns of regional poverty in the new Indonesia - Part 2: Decentralization and governance - 6. Twelve years of fiscal decentralization: a balance sheet - 7. Local governance and development outcomes - 8. Decentralization, governance and public service delivery - 9. What determines the quality of subnational economic governance? Comparing Indonesia and Vietnam - Part 3: Local-level perspectives - 10. Dilemmas of participation: the National Community Empowerment Program - 11. Governing fragile ecologies: a perspective on forest and land-based development in the regions - 12. Explaining regional heterogeneity of poverty: evidence from a decentralized Indonesia - Part 4: Migration, cities and connectivity - 13. Migration patterns: people on the move - 14. Regional labour markets in 2002?12: limited convergence but integration nonetheless - 15. The dynamics of Jabodetabek development: the challenge of urban governance - 16. Challenges of implementing logistics reform in Indonesia - Part 5: Challenges for Indonesia's periphery - 17. The political impact of carving up Papua - 18. Development in Papua after special autonomy - 19. Special autonomy, predatory peace and the resolution of the Aceh conflict - 20. Aceh's economy: prospects for revival after disaster and war - Author index - Subject index - Indonesia Update Series "

"Paper ini menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi core inflation di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan model OLS dan data triwulanan (qtaq), kami berargumen bahwa pada periods setelah krisis ekonami tahun 1997/1998, core inflation dipengaruhi oleh core inflation masa Ialu (backward-looking), ekspektasi infIasi (consensus forecast), output gap, nilai tukar(perubal1an dan tingkat volatilitasnya], dan pertumbuhan M1. Dibandingkan dengan whole sample (1992-2011}, pada periods setelah krisis ekanomi peran output gap menjadi signit..., pass-through nilai tukar berkurang, dan peran valatilitas nilai takar menjadi Iebih besar. Dengan menggunakan output gap MV &... , ditemukan adanya threshold output gap setelah periode krisis. Sementara itu, peran BI rate dalam menurunkan core inflation relative terbatas. Dengan menggunakan model ARDL dan data bulanan (yoyj darijanuari 2002 s.d. Juni 2011, kami berargumen bahwa pergerakan administered price inflation dan volatile food iinflation mempengaruhi pergerakan core iinflation di Indonesia. Secara umum, dampak kenaikan volatile foods Iebih besar dibandingkan dampak kenaikan administered price terhadap core inflation. Beberapa komoditas administered price yang berdampak signivikan terhadap core inflation adalah bensin, angkutan dalam kuta, bahan bakar rumah tangga, dan tarif telepon. Sementara beberapa komoditas volatile foods yang berdampak signifikan terhadap core iinflation adalah beras, daging sapi, susu, mie, dan minyak goreng."

"[ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dampak dari desentralisasifiskal dan pembentukan Tim Pemantauan dan Pengendalian Inflasi Daerah (TPID)terhadap inflasi regional di Indonesia selama kurun waktu 2008-2013. Variabelvariabelyang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah tingkat inflasi, rasiopengeluaran dan rasio otonomi pendapatan sebagai proxy desentralisasi fiskal,keberadaan TPID, produk domestik regional bruto (PDRB), kondisi infrastruktur,populasi, dan inflasi bahan makanan regional. Data yang digunakan dihimpun dari65 kota yang dianggap sebagai kontributor inflasi nasional. Hasil penelitian inimenunjukkan bahwa rasio pengeluaran sebagai salah satu indikator desentralisasifiskal memiliki hubungan negatif dengan tingkat inflasi daerah, sedangkan rasiootonomi pendapatan daerah dan keberadaan TPID pada tingkat kabupaten/kotatidak memberikan dampak signifikan terhadap volatilitas inflasi regional di daerah.

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ABSTRACTThis study aims to examine the impact of the fiscal decentralization and RegionalInflation Task Force (RITF) on regional inflation rate in 65 cities in Indonesia for2008-2013 period. The results of the paper shows that expenditure ratio as anindicator of fiscal decentralization has a negative relationship with regionalinflation rate, while regional revenue autonomy ratio and the existence of RITF inregions do not bring any significant impact to the volatility of inflation rate inregions.;This study aims to examine the impact of the fiscal decentralization and RegionalInflation Task Force (RITF) on regional inflation rate in 65 cities in Indonesia for2008-2013 period. The results of the paper shows that expenditure ratio as anindicator of fiscal decentralization has a negative relationship with regionalinflation rate, while regional revenue autonomy ratio and the existence of RITF inregions do not bring any significant impact to the volatility of inflation rate inregions., This study aims to examine the impact of the fiscal decentralization and RegionalInflation Task Force (RITF) on regional inflation rate in 65 cities in Indonesia for2008-2013 period. The results of the paper shows that expenditure ratio as anindicator of fiscal decentralization has a negative relationship with regionalinflation rate, while regional revenue autonomy ratio and the existence of RITF inregions do not bring any significant impact to the volatility of inflation rate inregions.]"

"The study about the relationship between climate and economy is essential because it's understanding is the key to formulate the effective economic policy. El Nino is one of the climate phenomena's that directly impact Indonesia, so it is necessary to analyze its effect on the macroeconomic condition such as inflation. This study aims to analyze the impact of El Nino as an external factor and the impact of another relevant economic factor on the macroeconomic condition such as inflation at the regional level (province) in Indonesia. The method used is a spatial panel method to capture the effect of inter-regional spatial interactions. The results show that El Nino has a positive effect on inflation in the southern Indonesian provinces that are affected by El Nino, but no effect in northern Indonesia. The other significant determinants of regional inflation are minimum wage, local revenue, local government spending, and infrastructure. There is significant spatial dependence on regional inflation in Indonesia, indicating that the inflations of its neighboring provinces influence the inflation of a province."

"ABSTRACTPenelitian ini akan mengkaji secara komprehensif mengenai Analisis Pengaruh Ramadan terhadap Determinan Inflasi Indonesia dengan periode dari 2009-2016. Peninjauan determinan ini akan dibahas berdasarkan dua sudut pandang yakni dari sisi penawaran dan sisi permintaan. Data dari dua sisi ini kemudian dilihat bagaimana keduanya membentuk inflasi pada Indeks Harga Produsen IHP dan Indeks Harga Konsumen IHK , yang akan menjadi bahan analisa untuk melihat pengaruh Ramadan terhadap determinan tersebut dengan menggunakan metode VAR dan ARMA. Temuan dalam penelitian ini menghasilkan bahwa determinan inflasi IHP dapat lebih dijelaskan dengan oil price dan food price, serta nilai IHP sebelumnya. Sedangkan determinan inflasi IHK lebih dipengaruhi oleh faktor-faktor dari sisi permintaan. Berkaitan dengan pengaruh Ramadan, Ramadan signifikan berpengaruh terhadap peningkatan harga pangan global dan IHK terutama pada harga konsumen yang berkaitan dengan barang pokok seperti bahan makanan, minuman dan makanan olahan, serta sandang. Dengan demikian Ramadan lebih berpengaruh terhadap IHK, sehingga mencerminkan lonjakan harga terjadi pada tingkat eceran.

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ABSTRACTThis research will comprehensively examine with regards to the analysis of Ramadan rsquo s impact towards Indonesia rsquo s inflation determinants for the period between 2009 and 2016. These determinants of inflation will be further two different perspectives, which are cost push inflation and demand pull inflation. This will be followed by examining how the two sides cost push and demand pull inflation may shape inflation on Producer Price Index PPI and Consumer Price Index CPI , which will then be used as the analytical tools to assess the impact of Ramadan towards the determinants of inflation using methods of VAR and ARMA. Findings from this research suggests that the determinants of inflation in PPI can be explained by the fluctuations in oil price and food price, as well as the previous PPI rsquo s value. On the other hand, CPI rsquo s determinants of inflation is explained by factors arising from the demand pull inflation. Pertaining to the impact of Ramadan , Ramadan is evident to be significant towards the rise in global food price and CPI, mainly for consumer rsquo s prices that deals with primary goods such as food ingredients, drinks, processed foods and clothing. In conclusion, Ramadan has greater impact towards CPI, which is reflected in the price spike at a retail level. "

"Penelitian ini bertujuan mengidentifikasikan dampak Program BPD Regional Champion terhadap tingkat NPL BPD yang merupakan proxy risiko kredit. Dengan menggunakan analisis data panel, model terpilih yaitu Random Effects Model mengidentifikasikan determinan NPL dari faktor internal dan eksternal bank. Model tersebut kemudian disimulasikan dengan given condition berupa target indikatif keberhasilan program yaitu pertumbuhan kredit minimum 20% dan porsi kredit produktif minimum 40%. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tingkat NPL estimasi selama periode 2008-2011 bagi 12 bank akan lebih tinggi dibandingkan NPL riil sementara bagi 13 bank lain sebaliknya.

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Focus of this research is to identify the impact of BPD Regional Champion Program to each bank's NPL. Using a panel data analysis for the observation period of 2008 - 2011, the selected random effects model identifies the determinant of NPL from bank specific variables and external factors. The Model is then simulated by the indicative targets of minimum loan growth of 20% and minimum portion of productive loan of 40%. This research reveals that the Program may cause higher estimated NPL for 12 banks while for the other 13 banks the estimated NPL will be lower than the real NPL."