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"Karya akhir ini membahas tentang kinerja reksadana saham di Indonesia serta hubungan antara kemampuan stock selection dan market timing. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa berdasarkan Sharpe index dan Treynor index, secara umum kinerja reksadana saham di Indonesia pada tahun 2005-2008 dapat dikatakan baik. Akan tetapi berdasarkan Jensen alpha dan information ratio hanya terdapat satu reksadana saham yang memiliki kinerja superior. Berdasarkan model Treynor- Mazuy dan Henriksson-Merton sebagian besar manajer investasi dalam penelitian ini tidak memiliki kemampuan market timing. Dalam penelitian ini diperoleh hasil bahwa terdapat hubungan positif yang signifikan antara kemampuan stock selection dan market timing manajer investasi reksadana saham di Indonesia. Hal ini bertentangan dengan beberapa penelitian sebelumnya di negara lain yang menemukan adanya hubungan negatif atau tidak ada hubungan antara kedua kemampuan tersebut. Sehingga dapat disimpulkan bahwa sebagian besar manajer investasi saham masih perlu meningkatkan kemampuan stock selection dan market timing demi meningkatkan kesejahteraan pemegang unit reksadana.

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The main objectives of this final paper are to evaluate the performance of equity mutual fund s, and the correiation of stock selection and market timing abilities of fund managers in Indonesia. Based on Sharpe and Treynor index, it is concluded that in 2005-2008 the equity mutual funds in Indonesia perform well. On the other hand, based on Jensen’s alpha and information ratio there is only one fund that has superior performance. Funhermore, most of the investment managers do not possess superior market timing ability. This paper also concludes that there is a positive relationship between stock selection and market timing abilities of equity mutual fund managers in Indonesia. This finding contradicts previous research results in other countries which mostly find negative or no correiation between market timing and stock selection abilities. Most of the fund managers need to improve their stock selection and market timing abilities to increase the fund unit holders’ wealth."

"In this paper, we analyze the empirical relationship between stock return and trading volumebased on stock market cycles. Using daily data for Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) closing price andtrading volume from 2010 to 2014, we identify the bull and bear phases, then we analyze the return–volume relationship in both contemporaneous and dynamic context. We find that (1) there is a positivecontemporaneous return–volume relationship in both bull and bear markets, which is only significantin bull markets; (2) no evidence of asymmetry in contemporaneous relationship is found; and (3)there exists a positive unidirectional causality from stock return to trading volume. Our research hastwo implications. First, in the bull market, overconfidence may grow with long-lasting past successand there is also momentum or positive feedback trading. Second, stock return is able to forecasttrading volume. In addition, our findings are robust for different sample period and data frequency."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis hubungan antara volatilitas pasar saham, Foreign Portfolio Investment, suku bunga, nilai tukar, dan Indeks Produksi Industri pada saham syariah sektor energi di Indonesia tahun 2011-2023. Penelitian ini menggunakan data dengan frekuensi bulanan sejak tahun 2011. Penelitian ini menggunakan Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) dengan melibatkan fenomena structural breaks yang terjadi pada September 2013 dan fenomena tersebut digunakan sebagai variabel dummy. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan adanya kointegrasi atau hubungan jangka panjang pada setiap variabel yang diuji sebagai variabel dependen. Hasil uji jangka panjang menunjukkan bahwa volatilitas pada saham syariah sektor energi dipengaruhi secara positif oleh aktivitas Foreign Portfolio Investment. Selain itu, nilai tukar secara positif mempengaruhi Indeks Produksi Industri. Sedangkan dalam jangka pendek, aktivitas Foreign Portfolio Investment dipengaruhi secara negatif oleh nilai Foreign Portfolio Investment periode sebelumnya. Di sisi lain, volatilitas pasar saham secara positif mempengaruhi Foreign Portfolio Investment. Selain itu, Indeks Produksi Industri dipengaruhi secara positif oleh nilai Indeks Produksi Industri selama 3 bulan sebelumnya, nilai tukar, aktivitas Foreign Portfolio Investment, serta volatilitas pasar saham hingga 1 bulan sebelumnya.

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This research aims to analyze the relationship between stock market volatility, Foreign Portfolio Investment, interest rates, exchange rates, and the Industrial Production Index on sharia stocks in the energy sector in Indonesia in 2011-2023. This research uses data with a monthly frequency since 2011 as the initial year when the Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI) was launched. This research uses Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) involving the structural breaks phenomenon that occurred in September 2013 and this phenomenon is used as a dummy variable. The research results show that there is cointegration or long-term relationship in each variable tested as the dependent variable. Long-term test results show that volatility in sharia stock in the energy sector is positively influenced by Foreign Portfolio Investment activity. In addition, exchange rate positively influences the Industrial Production Index. Meanwhile, in the short term, Foreign Portfolio Investment activity is negatively influenced by the value of Foreign Portfolio Investment in the previous period. On the other hand, stock market volatility positively affects Foreign Portfolio Investment. In addition, the Industrial Production Index is positively influenced by the value of the Industrial Production Index for the previous 3 months, exchange rates, Foreign Portfolio Investment activity, and stock market volatility for the previous 1 month."

"Penelitian ini ditujukan untuk menetapkan korelasi empiris antara kebijakan modal kerja dan kinerja keuangan perusahaan (seperti profitabilitas dan nilai pasar) dari perusahaan Crude Palm Oil (CPO) yang terdaftar di Indonesia. Data laporan keuangan yang diterbitkan dari perusahaan Crude Palm Oil yang terdaftar selama lima tahun mulai dari tahun 2017 hingga 2021, dikumpulkan dari situs web perusahaan dan Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) dan disusun menjadi sebuah panel data yang sesuai. Hasil dari uji Hausman menyimpulkan bahwa random effect model (REM) dari panel Ordinary Least Square (OLS) adalah estimasi yang paling tepat dan dengan demikian digunakan sebagai spesifikasi model yang paling sesuai menggunakan STATA. Studi ini menunjukkan bahwa CPO di Indonesia menggunakan kebijakan investasi modal kerja agresif dan kebijakan pembiayaan modal kerja agresif. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan investasi modal kerja memiliki pengaruh negatif yang signifikan terhadap profitabilitas dan pengaruh negatif yang tidak signifikan terhadap nilai pasar. Sedangkan, kebijakan pembiayaan modal kerja memiliki pengaruh negatif yang signifikan terhadap profitabilitas namun berpengaruh positif yang tidak signifikan terhadap nilai pasar.

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This study aims to establish the empirical correlation between working capital policies and the company's financial

performance (such as profitability and market value) of registered Crude Palm Oil (CPO) companies in Indonesia.

Published financial report data of Crude Palm Oil companies listed for five years from 2017 to 2021, collected from

company websites and the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and compiled into an appropriate data panel. The results of the Hausman test conclude that the random effect model (REM) from the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) panel is the most appropriate estimate and thus used as the most suitable model specification using STATA. This study shows that CPO in Indonesia uses an aggressive working capital investment policy and an aggressive working capital financing policy. This study shows that employment investment policy has a significant negative effect on profitability and an insignificant negative effect on market value. While the working capital financing policy has a significant negative effect on profitability but an insignificant positive effect on market value. "

"The stock markets are becoming an essential and inseparable part of the economies in many countries, including Indonesia. The fact that stock markets indices become one of the indicators to determine the healthiness of country economics showing the importance of the stock market in a country. Whenever the stock market experiences a substantial decline, there is reason to fear that a recession may come. Thus, policymakers and the government have to be aware of this matter. Macroeconomics plays an essential role in economies activities as well as brings an effect to stock market performance. GDP as an indicator of economic growth, inflation that is limiting consumption, interest rate, and exchange rate are selected macroeconomic variables that affect the stock market performance. Using multiple regression analysis, it is known that GDP and inflation contributing to the rise of stock market value, albeit the effect of inflation is not significant. Contrary, interest rate and exchange rate bring a negative impact on the stock market performance, primarily interest rate, which has a significant effect."

"Dilatarbelakangi oleh meningkatnya defisit fiskal dan utang publik saat ini di tengah meningkatnya peran pasar modal sebagai sumber pembiayaan perekonomian, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mempelajari hubungan antara utang publik dan kinerja pasar modal di Indonesia. Kajian ini merinci pasar modal menjadi dua pasar, pasar ekuitas dan pasar obligasi, karena keduanya merupakan pasar terbesar di pasar modal Indonesia. Berdasarkan tinjauan literatur, dihipotesiskan bahwa utang publik akan memiliki hubungan negatif dengan indeks harga saham dan hubungan positif dengan bond yield. Dengan menggunakan model spesifikasi ARDL dan data keuangan Indonesia dari tahun 2010 hingga 2022, penelitian ini menemukan bahwa hasil tersebut mendukung hipotesis yang dikemukakan. Untuk hubungan antara utang publik dan indeks pasar saham ditemukan bahwa defisit fiskal terhadap PDB sebesar 1% mengakibatkan penurunan harga saham sebesar 9,22 unit indeks saham, dengan rasio utang terhadap PDB menunjukkan tidak signifikan. Berbeda dari pasar saham, hubungan antara utang publik dan pasar obligasi menemukan bahwa pertumbuhan utang publik sebesar 1% dikaitkan dengan peningkatan 100 basis poin dalam imbal hasil obligasi 10 tahun, dengan defisit fiskal yang tidak signifikan.

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Motivated by the current rise of fiscal deficit and public debt in the midst of increasing role of the capital market as the source for the economy’s financing, this research aims to study the relationship between public debt and capital market performance in Indonesia. This study specifies the capital market into two markets, equity market and bond market, as both are the largest market in Indonesia’s capital market. Based on literature reviews, it is hypothesized that public debt would have a negative relationship with stock price and a positive relationship with bond yield. Using ARDL specification model and Indonesia’s financial data from 2010 to 2022, the study finds that the results support the stated hypotheses. For the relationship between public debt and stock market index it is found that fiscal deficit to GDP by 1% results in decrease in stock price by 9.22 units of stock index, with debt-to-GDP ratio shows to be insignificant. Different than stock market, the relationship between public debt and bond market found that a 1% in public debt growth is associated with an increase of 100 basis points in 10Y bond yield, with fiscal deficit is insignificant. "