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"Sejak tahun 1997 kurs Rupiah mengalami depresiasi terhadap Dollar Amerika Serikat (AS) yang dipicu oleh turunnya nilai Bath Thailand terhadap Dollar. Dan seperti efek domino, hal ini mempengaruhi kurs negara di kawasan Asia Tenggara lainnya seperti Malaysia dan Indonesia. Bagi Indonesia sendiri, krisis ini meluas akibatnya ke segala bidang, seperti struktur investasi, perbankan dan keuangan, bahkan ketenagakerjaan. Hal ini terlihat dari didirikannya BPPN untuk mengatasi krisis perbankan, menurunnya kinerja ekonomi sektor riil, khususnya sektor industri, dan meningkatnya jumlah pengangguran terbuka.Banyak ekonom yang telah mencoba menjelaskan fenomena krisis tersebut dengan berbagai teori, tetapi tampaknya sedikit yang mencoba menjelaskannya sebagai bagian dari siklus bisnis. Teori ekonomi mengenai siklus bisnis ini sebenarnya telah lama berkembang, dan telah diuraikan oleh beberapa ahli ekonomi terkenal, contohnya Schumpeter. Bila diklasifikasi, ada empat siklus bisnis dilihat dari jangka waktu terjadinya, yaitu Siklus Kitchen, Siklus Juglar, Siklus Kuznets, dan Gelombang Kondratieff. Siklus Kitchen adalah siklus yang mengalami satu gelombang kegiatan ekonomi, dari titik terendah yang satu ke titik terendah lainnya selama 3-4 tahun. Siklus Juglar meliputi masa waktu 9-11 tahun, dan Siklus Kuznets dalam masa waktu 15-22 tahun. Gelombang Kondratieff sendiri mengalami siklus selama 40-60 tahun. Untuk ketiga jenis siklus bisnis yang pertama, penyebab utama pergerakan gelombang kegiatan ekonomi adalah investasi. Bedanya, Siklus Kitchen menekankan peran investasi dalam stok barang-barang atau inventory investment, yang terdiri dari bahan baku atau penolong, suku cadang, barang setengah jadi maupun final goods. Siklus Juglar sendiri menekankan pada faktor investasi pada barang modal tetap, dan Siklus Kuznets-lah yang menekankan peranan penting dari sektor konstruksi. Gelombang Kondratieff sendiri menekankan peran empat faktor dinamika, yaitu inovasi dan teknologi, peperangan dan revolusi, produksi emas, dan sumber daya alam. "

"Global economic crisis has substantial impacts on organizations and families; consequently, many people become confused and many organizations collapse. Organizations and families discuss the issue and brainstorm to find some solutions to survive from this crisis. This paper explains the role of family and organization in finding solution to survive from this unfavorable situation. Organizations should be optimistic, analytic, and creative. They are encouraged to increase incomes but to decrease loans. Families can overcome the problem by having good financial planning, investing with good knowledge of self-risk profit and the characteristic of investment product."

"AbstractThe implication of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in 2015 is free mobilization of goods, services, labours, and capital among the member countries. This encourages Indonesia to strengthen its commitments on the construction service sector. This study aims to map Indonesia's commitments in the construction service sector under the ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services (AFAS) with Hoekman Index and investigates the impacts on the macroeconomic and sector performances. The GTAP model analysis shows that Indonesia does not gain from the service liberalization, there is only slight increase of macroeconomic and sector performance. A 50% or full liberalization cause few increase on the real GDP. Positive impact of liberalization is only seen in the construction sector itself.AbstrakImplikasi terbentuknya Masyarakat Ekonomi ASEAN tahun 2015 adalah kawasan ASEAN akan menjadi suatu kawasan bebas mobilisasi barang, jasa, investasi, tenaga kerja, dan arus modal. Kondisi ini mendorong peningkatan komitmen Indonesia, salah satunya di sektor jasa konstruksi. Studi ini bertujuan memetakan posisi komitmen sektor jasa konstruksi Indonesia di AFAS berdasarkan indeks Hoekman dan menganalisis dampak peningkatan komitmen tersebut. Hasil analisis GTAP menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia belum memperoleh manfaat dari adanya implementasi komitmen tersebut. Hal ini ditunjukkan dengan peningkatan yang relatif kecil terhadap indikator ekonomi makro dan sektoral Indonesia. Liberalisasi 50% maupun penuh hanya menyebabkan peningkatan PDB riil yang kecil. Dampak sektoral hanya tampak pada peningkatan di sektor konstruksi sendiri."

"The aim of this paper was to determine the effect of public sector expenditure to economic growth and poverty in all provinces in Indonesia during period 2006 to 2008. Using Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) approach, the result showed that public sector expenditure on education and health sector had significant effect inboosting economic growth. In addition, the output produced by the education and health sector, both of the output had significant effect on economic growth. While, public sector expenditure on infrastructure had insignificant effect. Furthermore, this study showed that public sector expenditure on education and health also had significant effect in reducing the number of poor through the outcome such as form of school enrollment, literacy, infant mortality and life expectancy. On the other hand, the effect of economic growth to reduce the number of poor was not significant."

"The purpose of this research is to provide empirical evidence on factors that predict financial performance of Foreign Exchange Banks after the economic crisis oeriod...."

"This article discusses the indirect roles of urban economy to the national economy through its property and land market. Some national economic instruments have inevitable effects on the local variables, making the concept of regional autonomy limited. The level of interest rates is determined by the central bank, which has a strong nationwide effects, influencing the valuation of property and land, namely in the urbanized areas. One of the main concerns of many people and both local and national governments in the urbanized area is on housing. How should the national policies and local policies be harmonized so that the lower households could afford decent shelters for their families? And how should the policies on the property sectors with its interrelation to the banking system be remedied in order to avoid its negative impacts to the national economy. As is well known, the land and property sector largely depend on local policies."

"The economic growth of the country is inseparable from the development of its financial sector. Therefore, this research attempted to prove the existence of causality between financial sector and economic growth in Indonesia using data between Q1 of 1996 to Q4 of 2006. The variables used as proxy for financial sector are monetization, private credit, total deposits, stock market capitalism, and stock market value traded?while the real GDP is used as a proxy for economic growth. This research aims to determine which variable is the most dominant influence in the shock given in causality result.This research methodology used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality. VECM is used to find out the dominant variable that gave shock, while Granger causality is used to detect the causality between variables. Granger causality test shows the existence of one way causality between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded. These causalities come from three sources. First, from real GDP to private credit; second, from real GDP to stock market value traded; and the last, from total deposit to real GDP. Meanwhile, VECM test shows the result that the economic growth can be a boosting factor for Indonesian financial sector growth. Moreover, the dominant variable in creating shock on economic growth is stock market value traded.The Granger causality estimation shows that there are one-way causalities between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded."

"During the development of any transormation will put the services while leaving the primary and diminishing share. Using Input-Output model, we analyse the possibilities of making DKI Jakarta as services town. Based on total forward, total backward linkage and other analysis output, we conform the highest role of services sector in this province. We also find that the final demand for services sector is higher than its intermediate demand, showing this product of this sector is mainly used for direct consumption."