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"This study analyses the prospects, changes and characteristics of economics cooperation between AFTA and China after the period from 1980?s. Gross trade and direct INVESTMENTS are studies here, as well as tariff such as per categornes, field, in order to understand AFTA China?s economics cooperation.According to FTA between AFTA and China, Crude oil, gas and other products took up the greatest portion of AFTA exports until the 2008 (in the short run), since the mid-2003, exports have grown by a large margin owing to the nation?s exportoriented economic development strategy. But, in the long run, foreign INVESTMENT in the world concentrate upon China"

"This study analyzes the changes and characteristics of economic cooperation between Korea and Indonesia during the period from 1980 to 2002. Gross trade and direct investments are studies here, as well as ODA such as per categomes, field, in order to understand Korea- Indonesia?s economic cooperation.Crude oil, gas and other natural resources took up the greatest portion of Indonesia exports until the 2002, Since the mid-1980?s, exports have grown by a large margin owing to the nation?s export.oriented economic development strategy and stabilization of oil prices. Trade and direct investment showed a continuous increase throughout the period, with the exception of a temporary decrease in 1997 economic crisis. The result of trade, investment and ODA shows that Indonesia and Korea very important country for economic growth."

"Singapore -success story and development experience is pretty much characterized by the path of open economy. The nation affluence derived form operating as trading post, resulting in one of the highest international exposures to domestic ration in the world, also in the busiest sea and airport. The geographic arrangement has serve Singapore very veil indeed, hence not without effort. This paper will deal with the consequences of such arrangement in the globalize world with some references to Singapore Johor RiaL Growth Triangle as the pioneer of regional trading arrangement which later evolve into more complex institution such as AFTA and APEC."

"The study examines saving behavior in ASEAN 5+3 namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Japan, Cina, and Korea during 1991-2007 and its implication toward global imbalances. By using fixed effect panel data regression, this research shows that government spending, interest rate and inflation, financial development through private domestic credit and stock market capitalization along with the 1997 Asian crisis significantly affect the saving behavior. As a result, a macroeconomic stability through interest rate and inflation, the reinforcement of financial development and crisis anticipation policy are required to support global rebalancing through global saving redistribution.

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Studi ini membahas perilaku tabungan negara-negara ASEAN 5+3, yaitu Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Jepang, Cina, dan Korea, dan implikasinya terhadap ketidakseimbangan global. Dengan menggunakan regresi data panel fixed effect, kajian ini menunjukkan bahwa indikator skal belanja pemerintah, indikator makroekonomi suku bunga dan inflasi, indikator perkembangan berupa finansial kredit domestik swasta dan kapitalisasi pasar saham serta krisis Asia 1997 secara signifikan memengaruhi perilaku tabungan. Implikasinya adalah stabilitas makroekonomi melalui inflasi dan suku bunga serta pengembangan pasar finansial dan kebijakan antisipasi krisis diperlukan untuk mendorong penyeimbangan global kembali melalui redistribusi tabungan dunia."

"AbstractWe try to analyze the impact of Chinese Textile and Garment (T&G) imports, and the internal and external factors to the firm survival and growth of T&G industry in Indonesia, for the period study of 2002 to 2007. Probit regression model is used to analyze the impact of Chinese imports to the survival of firm, while OLS regression model is used to analyze its growth. It shows that the ability of firms' survival is influenced by the internal and external factors. The Chinese imports give positive impact to the firms' survival ability. On the other hand, firm's growth is only affected by its internal characteristics, while the impact of Chinese imports is proven not significant. The Heckman test result stated that there are no correlation between firms' ability to survive and the firm growth behavior.AbstrakStudi ini menganalisis dampak dari penetrasi impor TPT Cina, faktor internal, serta faktor eksternal terhadap kebertahanan dan pertumbuhan perusahaan dalam industri TPT Indonesia periode tahun 2002-2007. Metode probit regression digunakan untuk mengetahui dampak impor Cina terhadap kebertahanan perusahaan, sementara regresi linear sederhana (OLS) digunakan untuk menganalisis pertumbuhannya. Ditemukan bahwa kebertahanan perusahaan dipengaruhi oleh karakteristik internal dan eksternal, serta impor Cina yang memberikan dampak positif. Sementara pertumbuhan perusahaan hanya dipengaruhi oleh faktor internal, di mana impor Cina tidak memberikan dampak signikan. Hasil pengujian Heckman menyatakan tidak ada indikasi hubungan antara kebertahanan perusahaan dengan perilaku pertumbuhannya."

"The main objective of the stuajl is to analyze the political economic and cultural factors aflecting corruption in regional economic development during decentralization era in Indonesia. The research uses both qualitative and quantitative methodology to elaborate the process of policy making in budgeting and in formulating regional regulation (Perda). Three districts were chosen as case studies i.e. Kabupaten Solok, Kabupaten Sukoharjo and Kabupaten Kutai Kartanegara. The results of the stuajl indicate that corruption has already emerged since the begining of decision making process in the executive as well as legislative agencies. The findings show that political economic and cultural factors are strongly aflecting the corruption in regional development in the autonomy era."

"Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis hubungan keseimbangan antar variable pembangunan ekonomi dan sosial daerah dengan menggunakan metode vector dan error correction model dan menganalisi kointegrasi serta kausalitas antar variabel dengan menggunakan metode cointegration dan causality. Metode yang digunakan ialah Error Correction Model (ECM) dan Vektor Error Correction Model (VECM). Variabel penelitian ini terdiri dari inflasi, Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK), dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) yang mewakili variabel pembangunan ekonomi serta, variabel pembangunan sosial diwakili oleh Indeks Pembangunan manusia (IPM), Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran. Penelitian ini akan menggunakan uji root dengan menggunakan metode Augmented Dickey Fuller test (ADF-test). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan antara variabel inflasi dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) di Provinsi Sumatera Selatan dalam jangka panjang dan jangka pendek. Sementara itu, variabel independen lainnya (IHK, IPM, Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran) dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang secara simultan berpengaruh pada PDRB. Terdapat hubungan keseimbangan Antar variable pembangunan ekonomi (PDRB, Inflasi, IHK) dan variabel sosial (IPM, Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran) di Provinsi Sumatera Selatan dengan menggunakan metode vector dan error correction model dan antar variable pembangunan ekonomi dan sosial berkointegrasi dan berkausalitas dengan menggunakan metode cointegration dan causality."

"The economic growth of the country is inseparable from the development of its financial sector. Therefore, this research attempted to prove the existence of causality between financial sector and economic growth in Indonesia using data between Q1 of 1996 to Q4 of 2006. The variables used as proxy for financial sector are monetization, private credit, total deposits, stock market capitalism, and stock market value traded?while the real GDP is used as a proxy for economic growth. This research aims to determine which variable is the most dominant influence in the shock given in causality result.This research methodology used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality. VECM is used to find out the dominant variable that gave shock, while Granger causality is used to detect the causality between variables. Granger causality test shows the existence of one way causality between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded. These causalities come from three sources. First, from real GDP to private credit; second, from real GDP to stock market value traded; and the last, from total deposit to real GDP. Meanwhile, VECM test shows the result that the economic growth can be a boosting factor for Indonesian financial sector growth. Moreover, the dominant variable in creating shock on economic growth is stock market value traded.The Granger causality estimation shows that there are one-way causalities between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded."

"Kebijakan moneter di Indonesia sampai tahun 1997 masih terfokus pada target yang konvensional yaitu pertumbuhan uang beredar. Kebijakan moneter akan lebih efektif jika terpelihara hubungan yang stabil antara pertumbuhan uang beredar dengan sasaran akhir, seperti inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Namun hubungan ini menjadi tidak stabil karena beberapa faktor, yaitu kebijakan nilai tukar di Indonesia yang bersifat kurang fleksibel, pengaruh deregulasi dan perubahan struktural di sektor keuangan, serta capital account Indonesia terbuka. Faktor-faktor tersebut menyebabkan pergerakan uang beredar menjadi sangat volatile."