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"Tulisan ini akan mencoba menganalisis dan memberi solusi baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Terlepas apakah krisis ekonomi global (KEG) 2008 diperkirakan berlangsung sekitar 3 tahunan, jauh lebih dasyat, sama atau malah tidak lebih besar dibandingkan dengan great depression tahun 30an, yang jelas KEG 2008 ini telah memakan korban sebuah segara kaya seperti Islandia. Bagaimana sebaiknya sikap Indonesia dalam mengoptimalisasikan perannya dalam KTT G20? Kiranya Indonesia harus terus mendukung harapan untuk perombakan arsitektur finansial global serta adanya otoritas international untuk mengontrol untuk mengontrol pasar uang dan pasar modal yang cenderung telah menjadi kasino fiktif global yang menjadikan terjadinya 'ekonomi balon global' yang rentan krisis, di samping desakan untuk meningkatkan peran dan suara negara-negara di luar G8 dan dalam G20, seperti dalam lembaga-lembaga IMF dan World Bank …. "

"Global economic crisis has substantial impacts on organizations and families; consequently, many people become confused and many organizations collapse. Organizations and families discuss the issue and brainstorm to find some solutions to survive from this crisis. This paper explains the role of family and organization in finding solution to survive from this unfavorable situation. Organizations should be optimistic, analytic, and creative. They are encouraged to increase incomes but to decrease loans. Families can overcome the problem by having good financial planning, investing with good knowledge of self-risk profit and the characteristic of investment product."

"Skripsi ini menganalisa kebijakan The Eleventh Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of the People?s Republic of China sekaligus menganalisa perubahan terhadap kebijakan pembangunan ekonomi nasional dan pembangunan sosial Republik Rakyat Cina (RRC) dalam dokumen pemerintah Report on The Implementation of Plan for National Economic and Social Development and on Draft Plan for National Economic and Social Development yang merupakan tindakan preventif pemerintah untuk mengontrol perkembangan dampak krisis terhadap perekonomian nasional RRC. Selain itu, perubahan terhadap kebijakan ekonomi nasional juga bertujuan sebagai upaya pemerintah untuk mempertahankan laju perkembangan ekonomi nasional.Sepanjang tahun 2008 hingga kuartal pertama tahun 2009, RRC mengalami perlambatan dalam pembangunan ekonomi nasional. Dengan menganalisa fenomena perlambatan pembangunan ekonomi nasional, pemerintah RRC meyakini bahwa hal tersebut terjadi akibat adanya dampak krisis ekonomi global yang mulai merambah perekonomian RRC melalui beberapa sektor penting perekonomian RRC. Pemerintah RRC memprediksi bahwa krisis ekonomi global akan mampu mempengaruhi perekonomian nasional untuk jangka waktu yang panjang, dan cenderung mengakibatkan dampak yang lebih besar jika tidak ditangani dengan seksama. Selain melakukan analisa terhadap kebijakan pembangunan ekonomi nasional dan pembangunan sosial RRC, skripsi ini juga mencoba untuk melakukan analisa dampak-dampak yang muncul dan mempengaruhi perekonomian dan kondisi sosial RRC.This minithesis aimed to analyze The Eleventh Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development Policy of the People's Republic of China as well as to analyze changes of national economy development policy and social development of People's Republic of China (PRC) in government document's Report on The Implementation of Plan for National Economic and Social Development and on Draft Plan for National Economic and Social Development as a prevention action from the government in order to control the development of critical impact to the national economy of PRC. Additionally, changes to national economy policy also aimed as government's attempts to sustain the blooming of national economy.

Throughout the year of 2008 until the first three months of 2009, PRC was facing a slowdown in its national economy development. Through analyzing the phenomena, the government of PRC convinced that such event occurred as an effect from global economic crisis which started to resemble China?s economy through some important sectors of PRC?s economy. The government predicted that the global economic crisis will be able to affect the national economy in the long run and have the tendency to cause adverse consequences if no action to be taken accurately. Besides analyzing the national economy development policy and social development of PRC, this minithesis also tried to analyze impacts that occurs and affect the economy and social condition of PRC."

"The latest global financial crisis was not merely provoked by the fate of the United States (US) financial and economic system. At a wider perspective, it is indeed a result of crisis in global governance which was caused by the exclusivity of state members playing role as decision makers in world economic and financial sector, and the weakness of surveillance as well as regulation concerning the dynamics of financial sector at the global stage. G20, therefore, has been a significant forum to respond to the global financial crisis and as an effort to establish a new world economic order that can cope with the dynamics of international changes. This writing is aimed to highlights: (i) The focus of Indonesian economic diplomacy within the G20 forum during the 2008-2009 global financial crisis; (ii) The opportunities and challenges that Indonesia faces in G20 during the crisis; and (iii) The implementation of global governance concept in international relations in the framework of G20."

"Disertasi ini bertujuan meneliti dampak spillover sejumlah common shocks dalam konteks krisis global subprima terhadap pertumbuhan PDB ASEAN-5 (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapura, dan Filipina). Untuk tujuan itu, penulis mengembangkan model Global VAR atas dasar estimasi bayesian VARX dengan Minnesota priors. Penulis juga melakukan uji kausalitas Granger dengan prosedur Toda-Yamamoto untuk meneliti arah kausalitas variabel perdagangan vis-a-vis variabel keuangan dalam sistem yang terkointegrasi. Hasil generalized impulse response functions dari model GVAR menunjukkan dukungan adanya spillover. Shock penurunan pertumbuhan PDB AS menyebabkan penurunan pertumbuhan PDB negara-negara ASEAN-5 dengan besaran berbeda-beda. Peranan China meningkat dalam spillover ke negara-negara ASEAN-5. Atas dasar generalized forecast error variance decomposition, variasi dampak spillover di antara negara-negara ASEAN-5 itu sebagian terkait dengan perbedaan kontribusi faktor domestik. Terakhir, hasil uji kausalitas mengindikasikan dominansi variabel perdagangan terhadap variabel keuangan di sejumlah negara ASEAN-5.

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This dissertation studies the spillover effects of commons shocks in the context of the subprime global crisis on the economic growth of the ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, and Philippines). For this purpose, this dissertation develops Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model which is based on the bayesian VARX estimation under the Minnesota priors. This dissertation in addition employs the Granger causality test under the Toda-Yamamoto procedure to investigate the dominance of trade variables vis-a-vis financial variables under a cointegrated system. The generalized impulse response functions (GIRF) of the GVAR shows a strong evidence of spillover. A negative shock on the US GDP growth results in lower GDP growths of all ASEAN-5 countries but with varying degrees. China contributes more significantly to spillover to ASEAN-5 economies. Based on the generalized forecast error variance decomposition, the varying degrees of spillover impacts may partly be explained by the different contribution of domestic factors in respective ASEAN-5 countries. Meanwhile, the Granger-causality test indicates that trade variables dominate financial variabels in few ASEAN-5 countries."

"Tesis ini membahas krisis ekonomi sebagai force majeure. Penyebab krisis ekonomi adalah lemahnya lembaga keuangan dan pengaruh krisis dari negara lain. Penyebab ini tidak dapat diduga sebelumnya, sehingga termasuk force majeure. Dalam kasus Karaha Bodas v. Pertamina dan PLN, ketidakmampuan Pertamina dan PLN dalam melaksanakan prestasinya akibat krisis ekonomi dianggap wanprestasi bukan force majeure. Hal ini dikarenakan dalam kontraknya dinyatakan bahwa force majeure hanya berlaku bagi KBC sebagai kreditur. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode normatif. Hasil penelitian menyarankan agar dalam membuat kontrak, harus hati-hati dalam membuat klausula force majeure.

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The focus of this study is economic crisis as force majeure. Economic crisis is caused by mismanagement financial institution and contagion. This cause cannot predicted before, those included in force majeure. In case Karaha Bodas (KBC) v. Pertamina dan PLN, unable Pertamina dan PLN to do his obligation cause economic crisis is event of default not force majeure. This is happened, due of contract that force majeure just for KBC. This study used normative method. Result of this study give suggestion that in making contract have to carefull about force majeure clausule."