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"Kakao adalah komoditi yang sangat penting bagi perekonomian Indonesia. Kesuksesan perluasan area kebun kakao dan peningkatan produk dalam dua decade telah meningkatkan pangsa pasar Indonesia di dunia. Tujuan tesis ini adalah untuk menganalisa faktor-faktor yang mempngaruhi ekspor biii kakao Indonesia ke Amerika Serikat dalam periodc 1976-2006. Tesis ini mengunakan model persamaan simultan yang terdiri dari dua persamaan, yaitu penawaran dan permintaan ekspor bUi kakao Indonesia. Hasil estimasi model persamaan simultan secara umum mempunyai tanda dan koeiisien yang sesuai dengan teori ekonomi dan penelitian terdahulu.Hasil estimasi model penawaran ekspor biji kakao Indonesia menunjukkan bahwa dua variable penjelas yaitu produksi biii kakao dan ekspor biii kakao tahun sebelumnya secara statistik signifikan pada 5 persen tingkat keyakinan. Disisi lain dua variable tidak signilikan berdasarkan kriteria statistik yaitu harga relative dari harga ekspor dengan harga domestic dan dummy penahanan otomatis. Hasil estimasi model permintaan ekspor biii kakao Indonesia menunjukkan bahwa dua variabel penjelas yaitu Pmduk Domestic Bruto Amerika Serikat dan harga ekspor tahun sebelumnya signilikan pada level 5 pereen. Di lain pihak dua variabel tidak signifikan berdasarkan criteria statistic, yaitu harga relative dari harga ekspor biji kakao Indonesia dengan harga ekspor Pantai Gading serta variabel volume ekspor Pantai Gading ke Amerika Serikat

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Cocoa is a commodity which plays a very important role in Indonesian economy. The successful cocoa area expansion and product increase in two decades have improved Indonesian cocoa market share in the world. The objective of this thesis is to analyze determinant factors which influence Indonesia?s cocoa beans export to the United States of America in the period ot' 1976-2006. This thesis uses simultaneous equation model which consists of two equations, they are supply and demand for export of lndonesia?s cocoa beans.

The result of simultaneous equation model estimation in general has the magnitude and eoeliicient which are suitable with economic theory and previous research. The result of the supply of export for Indonesia?s cocoa beans model estimation shows that two explanatory variables that are cocoa beans production and cocoa beans export on lagged one year are statistically significant at 5 per cent level of confidence. On the other hand two variables are not significant based on statistical criteria; they are relative price of export price with domwtic price and dummy automatic detention. The result of the demand for export estimation for lndonesia?s cocoa bears model shows that two explanatory variabl namely Gross Domestic Product of USA and export price of cocoa beans on one year lag are statistically signilicant at 5 per cent level of confidence. On the contrary two variables are not significant based on statistical criteria; they are relative price of Indonesia?s export price with lvory Coast?s export price and export volume of Ivory Coast to USA."

"Export promotion is an important policy for developing country in term of foreign exchange earning. And every country has competed with each other to seize in global market in exporting their products. However, to be a winner in global competition, each country should suitably pose their products in certain market. Besides that, each country should also understand their products position (relative to their competitor) and how competitive their products in that market. This study tries to map Indonesia's product position and its performance in United Arab Emirates (UAE) market during 2001 and 2006 period. Using Boston Consulting Gronp Matrix (BCG Matrix) and Constant Markel Share Analysis (CMSA), this study found that some of Indonesia's products were superior in UAE's market especially for certain kind of textile products, paper and pulp products, automotive and parts, agro industrial products (cocoa butter, coffee, and black tea), certain kind of wood products, jewelry from precious metal, glassware, and miscellaneous products (soaps, shampoos, and pasta). While, some products faced declining in position especially for certain kind of textile products, plastic products, fomilure products.certain kind of footwear, and electronic part and accessories products. Finally, in order to improve Indonesia's export we must apply different strategy for each product depending on its position and its performance in that market."