Hasil Pencarian  ::  Simpan CSV :: Kembali

"Contents : Thinking and deciding -- What is decision making? -- A general framework for judgment -- The fundamental judgment strategy : anchoring and adjustment -- Judging heuristically -- Explanation-based judgments -- Chance and cause -- Thinking rationally about uncertainty -- Evaluating consequences : fundamental preferences -- From preferences to choices -- A rational decision theory -- A descriptive decision theory -- What?s next? New directions in research on judgment and decision making -- In praise of uncertainty."

"Contents : Thinking and deciding -- What is decision making? -- A general framework for judgment -- The fundamental judgment strategy : anchoring and adjustment -- Judging heuristically -- Explanation-based judgments -- Chance and cause -- Thinking rationally about uncertainty -- Evaluating consequences : fundamental preferences -- From preferences to choices -- A rational decision theory -- A descriptive decision theory -- What?s next? New directions in research on judgment and decision making -- In praise of uncertainty."

"The content of this book includes: Chinas peaceful development path and the connotation of the concept of a harmonious world, Chinas peaceful development and international order, Chinas peaceful development and the process of economic globalization, Chinas peaceful development and Chinas diplomatic relations, adhere to peaceful development and promote the construction of a harmonious world."

"International order is being remade by new "shapers"--emerging powers that are increasingly assertive in world affairs. Controversies rage about the trajectory of Chinese strategy, the revival of Russian ambitions, the ascent of India, the reconfiguration of Middle East politics, the return of Germany to geopolitics, and the mounting power of Brazil in the Western Hemisphere. Rarely do scholars and commentators think comparatively about the strategic calculations, politics, and impact of these powers in relation to one another and to the United States. What will the shapers do and why? How should the United States respond? What kind of world will they create? The conventional wisdom on national strategy suggests these shaping states have clear central authority, coherently connect means to ends, and focus on their geopolitical environment. The chapters in this edited volume suggest a different conclusion. In seven critically important countries--Brazil, China, Germany, India, Israel, Russia, and Turkey--strategy is dominated by nonstate threats, domestic politics, the powerful and distorting effect of history and national identity, economic development concerns, and the sheer difficulty, in the face of so many powerful internal and external constraints, to pursue an effective national strategy. The United States, in responding to these seven shaper states, must comprehend these sources of strategy."--Provided by publisher."