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"The ratio of Non-Performing Loan (NPL) and Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) is still a measure of bank soundness in various countries including Indonesia. Interdependence across bank condition, diversity of the size, market structure within banking industry, and macroeconomic variables, may be very complex and dynamic. This paper utilizes the advantage of PVAR model on capturing this complexity to analyze the dynamic relationship between the macroeconomic variables and the soundness of the banks.The result shows NPL of banks with small asset will increases rapidly when interest rate fluctuates. For banks with large asset, the increase in interest rates leads to larger reduction on their CAR. On the other hand, the result show banks with smaller capital are less able to adapt quickly to an increase in NPL due to exchange rate depreciation, therefore banks with smaller capital should be cautious about the exchange rate risk."

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Sejak lebih dari dua dasawarsa penerapan sistem Perbankan Syariah di Indonesia, berbagai studi yang membahas tentang issue mengenai praktik dan pembaruan teori pun semakin berkembang seiring dengan tingginya minat masyarakat muslim di Indonesia akan produk keuangan berbasis syariah. Salah satu tantangan dalam pertumbuhan suatu sistem perbankan adalah kemampuannya dalam menghadapi risiko yang dapat muncul bahkan dalam keadaan ekstrim sekalipun. Tingkat gagal bayar yang tinggi membuat pihak perbankan tidak hentinya berupaya untuk mencari strategi terbaik yang bisa dilakukan untuk meminimalisasi kerugian. Belum lagi resesi ekonomi berkepanjangan bahkan krisis ekonomi masih menjadi permasalahan yang paling mengkhawatirkan seluruh sektor keuangan. Penelitian ini kemudian dilakukan untuk melihat ketahanan bank syariah di Indonesia terhadap guncangan ekonomi, khususnya secara makro,  menggunakan model untuk macro stress test  risiko kredit untuk sektor perbankan berdasarkan analisis scenario.

 

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Since more than two decades of implementation of Sharia Banking sistem in Indonesia, various studies that discuss issues concerning the practice and the renewal of theory have also grown along with the high interest of the Muslim community in Indonesia for sharia-based financial products. One of the challenges within the growth of a banking sistem is its ability to deal with risks that can arise even in extreme circumstances. The high default rate makes the banks endlessly try to find the best strategy that can be done to minimize losses. Furthermore, prolonged economic recession and even the economic crisis is still the most worrying problem for the entire financial sektor. This research then conducted to look at the resilience of Islamic banks in Indonesia to economic shocks, particularly at a macro level, using a model for macro stress tests of credit risk for the banking sektor based on scenario analysis.

 

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"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis bagaimana kinerja perusahaan dapat dipengaruhi oleh working capital management, dengan melihat juga pengaruh variabel makroekonomi sebagai variabel moderasi di negara dengan tingkat inflasi rendah. Penelitian ini menggunakan sampel 143 perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia dan membagi periode penelitian menjadi dua subperiode, yaitu periode 2011-2015 dan 2015-2019. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pengaruh yang negatif dan signifikan antara WCM dan kinerja keuangan. Pengaruh inflasi baik secara langsung maupun sebagai variabel moderasi tidak signifikan terhadap hubungan WCM dan kinerja keuangan di kedua periode, sedangkan terdapat perbedaan arah signifikansi dari pengaruh pertumbuhan PDB dalam memoderasi hubungan WCM dan kinerja keuangan di antara kedua periode.

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This study aims to analyze how the firm’s performance can be influenced by working capital management, by looking at the effect of macroeconomic variables as moderating variables in a country with a low inflation rate. This study uses a sample of 143 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and divides the research period into two sub periods, namely the period 2011-2015 and 2015-2019. The results showed that there is a negative and significant effect between WCM and financial performance. Either direct effect of inflation or inflation as a moderating variable is not significant on the relationship between WCM and financial performance in both periods, while there is a significant difference in the direction of the effect of GDP growth in moderating the relationship between WCM and financial performance between two periods."