Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi dampak kebijakan Dana Desa melalui peningkatan sistem keamanan lingkungan terhadap pengurangan kejadian kriminalitas di desa-desa di Indonesia. Menggunakan pendekatan Difference-in-Differences (DiD) dalam model regresi Poisson, penelitian ini mengkaji pengaruh implementasi kebijakan Dana Desa di 36.889 desa selama periode 2011-2021. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa setelah kebijakan Dana Desa diterapkan, desa-desa dalam kelompok treatment—yakni desa-desa dengan sistem keamanan lingkungan yang relatif rendah—mengalami dampak berhasil menurunkan variasi kejadian kriminalitas 0,937 kali lebih rendah dibandingkan desa-desa dengan tingkat sistem keamanan lingkungan tinggi dengan tingkat signifikansi 1%. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa pembangunan infrastruktur, pemberdayaan masyarakat, serta peningkatan sistem keamanan lingkungan di wilayah dengan sistem keamanan lingkungan yang lebih rentan memberikan kontribusi nyata terhadap penurunan kejadian kriminalitas di desa-desa di Indonesia.

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This study aims to evaluate the impact of the Village Fund policy on reducing criminal incidents in Indonesian villages through improvements in environmental security systems. Utilizing a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) approach within a Poisson regression model, the study examines the effects of the Village Fund policy implementation across 36,889 villages during the 2011–2021 period. The analysis reveals that, following the implementation of the Village Fund policy, villages in the treatment group—characterized by relatively low environmental security systems—experienced a 0.937 times lower variation in criminal incidents compared to villages with high environmental security levels, with a statistical significance of 1%. These findings indicate that infrastructure development, community empowerment, and the enhancement of environmental security systems in more vulnerable areas contribute significantly to the reduction of criminal incidents in Indonesian villages.