[Perekonomian dunia pada saat ini mengalami fenomena yang disebut sebagai
global imbalance. Dengan negara-negara maju yang secara garis besar mengalami
penurunan pertumbuhan, negara-negara emerging market menjadi sorotan bagi
investor dan telah menguasai lebih dari setengah GDP dunia. Dengan tingkat
pertumbuhan yang tinggi, timbul kehawatiran bahwa negara-negara tersebut
mengalami tingkat pertumbuhan yang berbahaya. Dengan temperatur ekonomi
yang tinggi tersebut, negara-negara ini menjadi rawan terhadap tekanan eksternal,
dan dikhawatirkan dapat menimbulkan dampak pada negara disekitarnya.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa tekenan overheating yang dialami
Indonesia. Selain itu, penelitian ini juga bertujuan sebagai sistem peringatan dini
untuk krisis yang akan datang, dan menganalisa indikator-indikator yang dapat
menyebabkan krisis tersebut.;The world is currently facing a phenomenon called the global Imbalance. With
developing economies facing decreasing growth, emerging markets are currently
rising and occupying more than half of the worlds GDP. Accompanied by rising
growth rates, numerous studies are concerned of the danger leves associated with
these growths. As with high overheating pressures, a country becomes prone to
external shock, and may as well create spillovers to other countries. This research
is done to analyze whether Indonesia faces overheating pressures or sound
economic development. This research also aims to serve as an alternative method
of early warning system for overheating to the ecnomy, as well as analyzing the
indicators behind the high temperatured performance., The world is currently facing a phenomenon called the global Imbalance. With
developing economies facing decreasing growth, emerging markets are currently
rising and occupying more than half of the worlds GDP. Accompanied by rising
growth rates, numerous studies are concerned of the danger leves associated with
these growths. As with high overheating pressures, a country becomes prone to
external shock, and may as well create spillovers to other countries. This research
is done to analyze whether Indonesia faces overheating pressures or sound
economic development. This research also aims to serve as an alternative method
of early warning system for overheating to the ecnomy, as well as analyzing the
indicators behind the high temperatured performance.]